meta_pixel
Tapesearch Logo
Log in
The Intelligence from The Economist

America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

The Intelligence from The Economist

The Economist

Daily News, Global News, News

4.53.7K Ratings

🗓️ 7 September 2022

⏱️ ? minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Our model, built to predict the outcome of this year’s midterm elections, tips Republicans to take the House and Democrats to retain control of the Senate. The model’s architect discusses how and why he built it, and our polling guru explains why polls matter. Why there’s no nuclear-arms race in Asia—yet. And Egypt wants the Rosetta Stone back, but it’s not that simple.

For full access to print, digital and audio editions of The Economist, subscribe here www.economist.com/intelligenceoffer


Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Hello and welcome to the Intelligence from the Economist.

0:07.0

In New York, I'm John Fassman.

0:09.4

And in London, I'm Jason Palmer.

0:11.5

Every weekday, we provide a fresh perspective on the events shaping your world.

0:18.4

The nuclear arsenals of China, India, and Pakistan are growing.

0:22.4

Combined, they've got more nukes than Britain and France have stockpiled in Europe.

0:27.2

There's still no arms rights happening in Asia yet.

0:31.2

And the Rosetta Stone that allow the translation of hieroglyphics first ended up in French

0:37.6

hands then in British.

0:39.8

Now Egypt wants it back, even though it's technically Greek.

0:44.2

The restitution of artifacts is often messy because that's how history is.

0:55.8

But first.

1:04.8

Political junkies have been chewing over the upcoming midterm elections for months.

1:09.0

But for many Americans, Labor Day, which was celebrated this past Monday, marks the beginning

1:14.3

of campaign season.

1:15.8

A lot of those junkies had been predicting a red wave in this year's midterms.

1:19.8

History and precedent suggests that the party of the incumbent president is looking to

1:24.8

get clobbered basically in the midterm elections.

1:27.2

Given all of the polling the way it is now, it'll be one of the largest red waves in the

1:30.8

history of the United States.

1:33.0

But in recent weeks, many have begun to wonder whether that wave crested too early.

1:38.3

Two months ago, it looked like the Republicans were going to just sweep the midterms.

...

Please login to see the full transcript.

Disclaimer: The podcast and artwork embedded on this page are from The Economist, and are the property of its owner and not affiliated with or endorsed by Tapesearch.

Generated transcripts are the property of The Economist and are distributed freely under the Fair Use doctrine. Transcripts generated by Tapesearch are not guaranteed to be accurate.

Copyright © Tapesearch 2026.