America 2024 & the Battle of the Elites | Nate Silver

Hidden Forces

Demetri Kofinas

Government, Business

4.8 • 1.6K Ratings

🗓️ 12 August 2024

⏱️ 53 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

In Episode 375 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with Nate Silver, political forecaster, poker player, and founder of FiveThirtyEight, about the 2024 U.S. elections and the battle between Silicon Valley elites and the D.C. establishment for control over the country.

In the first hour, Demetri asks Nate for his views about the political battle taking place between Silicon Valley elites (VCs and tech founders) and the coastal establishment of D.C. insiders and legacy media journalists. They discuss the internecine political movements of effective altruism and accelerationism within Silicon Valley, the loss of faith in political institutions, Americans' polarizing risk preferences, and what all of this reveals about the nature and soundness of our political economy heading into the 2024 U.S. elections.

In the second hour, Demetri drills Nate on the upcoming 2024 U.S. elections, the tightness of the presidential race, and who he thinks is best positioned to win the presidency in November. They debate Kamala’s choice for vice president, the pros and cons of J. D. Vance as Trump’s VP pick, Kamala and Trump’s respective approaches to doing media, favorability scores, swing state strategies, and much more.

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Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas

Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou

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Episode Recorded on 08/05/2024

Transcript

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0:00.0	What's up everybody? My name is the meteor Kofinas and you're listening to Hidden Forces, a
0:06.1	podcast that inspires investors, entrepreneurs and everyday citizens to challenge
0:12.4	consensus narratives and learn how to think
0:14.7	critically about the systems of power shaping our world.
0:18.9	My guest in this episode of Hidden Forces is Nate Silver.
0:22.3	Nate is a well-known political forecaster, statistician, and
0:25.8	poker player who founded the website 538 and has authored two books on statistics and probability, the signal on the noise and on the edge, the art of
0:36.6	risking everything.
0:38.8	In the episode's first hour, Nate and I discussed the political battle currently taking place between Silicon Valley elites and the coastal establishment of DC insiders and legacy media journalists.
0:50.0	We discussed the international political movements of effective altruism and
0:54.2	accelerationism within Silicon Valley, the loss of faith in political
0:58.2	institutions, the polarizing risk preferences of Americans, and what all of this reveals about the nature and soundness of
1:06.0	our political economy heading into the 2024 U.S. elections.
1:10.9	In the second hour we discussed those elections in great detail including the tightness of the
1:15.4	presidential race and who they believes is best positioned to win the presidency in November.
1:21.2	We debate Kamala's choice for vice President, the pros and cons of J.D. Vance as
1:25.6	Trump's VP pick, Kamala and Trump's respective approaches to doing media, favorability
1:31.1	scores, swing state strategies, and much more.
1:35.0	If you want access to that part of the conversation,
1:37.4	and you're not already subscribed to Hidden Forces,
1:40.3	you can join our premium feed
1:41.8	and listen to the second hour of today's episode by going to
	...

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