Hello everyone and welcome to Ammanpur. Here's what's coming up.

I believe we have a genuine opportunity to make progress and I've committed to working for.

A fragile truce in the Middle East, but with tempers flaring and the core issues unsolved how long will it hold and

when the aim of judgment is to be accurate then noise and bias have mathematically equivalent roles.

Cutting through the noise.

Nobel Prize winning psychologist Daniel Kahneman tells us how we can reduce bias

and make better decisions.

Plus, it was abrupt.

That's a messaging problem.

That actually has nothing to do with science.

Hari Srenevasin digs into the science

and makes sense of confusing mass guidance with Dr. Monica Gandhi. Welcome to the program everyone. I'm Bianna Galadriga in New York sitting in for Christian Amapur. For the first time in 11 days this in Perhaps that's why hours after the ceasefire took effect we saw new clashes at one of the flash points for this latest conflict, the Al-Aksa mosque.

More than 200 people, mostly Palestinians, have died since fighting began last week.

But both sides are now claiming victory, and the world is holding its breath to see if this

shaky truce brokered by Egypt, will last.

Senior international correspondent, Ben Weedeman, joins me now from Gaza.

Ben, thank you so much for joining us.

A bit of a rocky start this morning to that fragile truths and ceasefire. Where do things stand now? Well, the ceasefire is holding. Apart from the confrontations on the Al-Hara-Mashirif, the temple

mount, the guns and rockets have gone silent between Israel and Gaza.

In fact, below me in the main square of Gaza City,

it's a rather festive atmosphere, not a political celebration of any sort, but keep in mind that the month of

Ramadan ended with during the fighting and now finally people are able to go out and celebrate the AID, the AIDL adhad which marks the,

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