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EconTalk

Allan Meltzer on Inflation

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4.74.4K Ratings

🗓️ 23 February 2009

⏱️ 64 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Allan Meltzer, of Carnegie Mellon University, talks with EconTalk host Russ Roberts about the current state of monetary policy and the potential for inflation. Meltzer explains why inflation hasn't happened yet, despite massive increases in reserves created by Fed policy. Then he explains why inflation is coming and why it will be politically difficult for the Fed to stop it. Meltzer also analyzes the Japanese experience in recent years and talks about why so many investment banks overreached and destroyed themselves.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Econ Talk, part of the Library of Economics and Liberty. I'm your host Russ Roberts

0:13.9

of George Mason University and Stanford University's Hoover Institution. Our website is econtalk.org

0:21.2

where you can subscribe, find other episodes, comment on this podcast, and find links

0:26.4

another information related to today's conversation. Our email address is mailadicontalk.org. We'd

0:33.6

love to hear from you.

0:36.8

It's February 11, 2009, and my guest today is Alan Meltzer, Professor of Political Economy

0:45.7

at Carnegie Mellon University and a visiting professor at the American Enterprise Institute.

0:50.8

He's the author of a history of the Federal Reserve, which volume 1 taking up to 1951 is

0:57.6

in print. Volume 2 taking us up to 1986 with some thoughts on the current situation. We expect

1:05.6

to be published this fall, or somewhere around there. Alan, welcome back to Econ Talk.

1:11.4

Thank you. Nice to talk to you, Russ.

1:13.8

So our topic for today is monetary policy writ large, but in particular in the last

1:20.1

few months, there are a lot of mysteries there for those of us who are not experts, and

1:24.8

I'm hoping you can help us understand the situation better. I'm going to start off with

1:29.0

a seemingly very simple question. What is going on? Monetary policy appears to be enormously

1:36.2

expansionary by some measures. Is that true? What measures should those of us who are not

1:41.8

on the inside be looking at?

1:44.8

Well, first, it certainly is enormously expansive. I don't think there's never been a period

1:51.6

quite like this in terms of the growth of the monetary aggregate to supply of reserves,

1:58.1

the purchase of central banks in developed countries never purchase illiquid assets, but

2:07.2

the Fed has been buying them quite a large degree. So in my opinion, if it has a terrible

2:15.6

policy, it does have to do things about the current crisis, but it doesn't have to completely

...

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