4.8 • 3.4K Ratings
🗓️ 2 October 2019
⏱️ 25 minutes
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0:00.0 | This is a special edition of Macrovoises with hedge fund manager Eric Townsend. |
0:14.2 | The premier financial podcast targeting professional finance, high net worth individuals, family |
0:19.8 | offices, and other sophisticated investors. |
0:23.0 | Now for this special edition of Macrovoises, here's hedge fund manager Eric Townsend. |
0:30.0 | Macrovoises All Stars Episode 65 was recorded on September 30th, 2019. |
0:36.4 | I'm Eric Townsend. All Star Luke Gromund, founder of Forest for the Trees, is back with us today. |
0:43.0 | This episode of Macrovoises is brought to you by top traders on plug.com, which happens to be my |
0:48.8 | favorite podcast when it comes to quant and rules based investing. Check them out, you'll be glad you did. |
0:55.2 | Luke, what's got your attention this week? |
0:57.8 | Hey, Eric, what's got my attention recently? What we think is the marked acceleration of the |
1:02.9 | failure of a narrative is critically important to a wide array of markets and assets. |
1:08.4 | Okay, I'll bite a failure of what narrative specifically. |
1:12.5 | You know, when narratives fail to the casual observers, the failure seems sudden and out of the |
1:17.2 | blue, but there's usually unmistakable signs of narrative breakdown that often become obvious |
1:22.3 | to most observers, really only in hindsight. One of the most dramatic stories of a failed narrative |
1:28.2 | that we've ever read comes from Barton Biggs, the former Morgan Stanley strategist, in his book |
1:33.0 | Wealth, War and Wisdom. And if I may, I'm just going to read a quick excerpt here. |
1:36.5 | The Japanese official battle reports and the Japanese press reported the battle of the Coral Sea |
1:41.6 | as a great triumph, and Midway was portrayed as a victory now defeat, although some loss of aircraft |
1:46.8 | and ships were admitted. Although casualties must have been noted and grieved, Japanese society at |
1:51.8 | the time was so united behind the war policy and believed so totally in the invincibility of the |
1:56.0 | Japanese military that the feat and economic failure were virtually inconceivable. It would have |
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