#AIS: FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver on how gamblers think

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

All-In Podcast, LLC

Alllin, Coronavirus, Calacanis, Palihapitiya, Health, Sacks, Friedberg, Allin, Entrepreneurship, Covid19, Gambling, Grow, Investing, Iq, Tips, Tech, Business, Jason, Startups, Poker, Technology, Money, Learn, Davidsacks, Davidfriedberg, Chamath

4.2 • 7.1K Ratings

🗓️ 29 May 2022

⏱️ 40 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist

0:00 Nate Silver gives a presentation on how gamblers think

19:25 Bestie Q&A with Nate Silver: building probabilistic models, getting blamed for Trump winning in 2016, polarization reality, 2022 midterms

Follow Nate:

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://linktr.ee/calacanis

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Transcript

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0:00.0	We're really excited to have our next speaker here.
0:02.3	Nate Silver is the editor-in-chief of 538.
0:05.7	And he came to our poker game recently.
0:10.0	Nate came to our game.
0:11.5	Come on out, Nate.
0:12.3	Ran the game over.
0:13.6	Yeah.
0:14.6	Let's see if I'm too good morning.
0:16.6	Who was the big loser that night?
0:21.6	I think, played.
0:22.7	Who was the big loser?
0:23.7	Because Nate was the big winner, right?
0:25.6	Well, he was the big winner.
0:26.7	I was basically trying to play.
0:28.0	I think Jason, Jason, Jason, kind of the big loser that night.
0:29.9	I think I donated a little bit to Nate Silver's new model-ess-plod.
0:34.2	Model-ess-plod.
0:35.2	Model-ess-plod.
0:36.2	I think he got the model-ess-plod coming to the game.
0:39.4	This was the largest poker win you've had in your life.
0:42.9	Largest cash game win, yeah.
0:44.5	By a factor of five.
	...

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