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The Inquiry

After the Electoral Shocks of Brexit and the US Election - What Next?

The Inquiry

BBC

News Commentary, News

4.61.7K Ratings

🗓️ 15 November 2016

⏱️ 23 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

On 8 November, as they stood in line to cast their votes, Americans were told by pollsters and pundits that, while close, the presidential race would be won by Hillary Clinton. As the results came in, precinct by precinct, many in the political establishment watched the unfolding story in disbelief. It was a similar feeling to that felt by many in Britain’s so-called ‘chattering class’ when, on June 24, they woke to the news that the UK had voted to leave the EU. Both were seismic political shocks. Neither was predicted by pollsters. What next? After two extraordinary electoral shocks, both of which challenge the established order, and with elections coming up in France and Germany, should we expect more?

(Photo: Republican Presidential nominee Donald Trump (R) greets UK Independence Party leader Nigel Farage at a campaign rally, Mississippi Coliseum. Credit: Jonathan Bachman/Getty Images)

Transcript

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0:00.0

What next? You know what I'm talking about. On a cold night in Pennsylvania last week.

0:11.6

I am so excited.

0:14.0

I've never been more excited.

0:16.0

So excited.

0:17.0

We can't wait for President Trump.

0:19.0

We just can't wait.

0:20.0

And the following morning on the streets of Washington, D.C.

0:24.0

I don't know what happened.

0:26.0

I'll hear you down.

0:28.0

It's been one of the most extraordinary political events in generations.

0:32.0

First, Brexit, then the US presidential election.

0:36.0

We've seen the old order shaken, people staring at one another in mutual, in comprehension.

0:41.0

Two countries so divided they might as well before. But with other

0:45.4

important electoral tests looming, might there be more political shocks to come?

0:49.7

Hence our question this week, what next? I'm Michael Blasland and this is the inquiry.

0:57.0

Part 1, the morning after. I remember going to the studio on the night of the Brexit referendum and my editor was messaging me and he said come on then what's your bet and I said to him

1:25.9

I think 2016 will be the year things almost happen. I think we will get so close to the edge

1:32.1

and it will be the year we almost see seismic change.

1:37.0

Our first expert witnesses Emily Maitless, who spoke for many including most pollsters,

1:42.0

she co-hosted the BBC's overnight coverage. who spoke for many, including most pollsters.

1:42.5

She co-hosted the BBC's overnight coverage

1:44.9

of the UK's Brexit referendum.

...

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