After Inflation Improvement, a Quiet FOMC
The Breakdown
Blockworks
4.8 • 806 Ratings
🗓️ 14 June 2024
⏱️ 15 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome back to The Breakdown with me, NLW. |
| 0:09.3 | It's a daily podcast on Macro, Bitcoin, and the Big Picture Power Shifts remaking our world. |
| 0:18.3 | What's going on, guys? It is Thursday, June 13th, and today we are catching up on the macro with yesterday's FOMC meeting. |
| 0:25.4 | Before we get into that, however, if you are enjoying the breakdown, please go subscribe to it, |
| 0:29.0 | give it a rating, give it a review, or if you want to dive deeper into the conversation, |
| 0:32.6 | come join us on the Breakers Discord. You can find a link in the show notes or go to bit.ly slash |
| 0:36.5 | breakdown pod. |
| 0:42.9 | All right, friends, well, Fed Day got started early with the release of May inflation data first thing in the morning. BLS data showed actually a small downtick in headline CPI, |
| 0:48.6 | moderating to 3.3% on an annualized basis. Core CPI inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, also fell |
| 0:55.3 | slightly to 3.4%. Both readings came in below expectations and contributed to the second |
| 1:00.9 | straight month of declining inflation. As the Fed might tell you, we're at a place where inflation |
| 1:05.0 | is still too high and progress too slow, but given that we saw increasing inflation in the |
| 1:09.8 | first quarter, slow progress |
| 1:11.3 | is a whole lot better than the alternative. Robert Frick, corporate economists with Navy Federal |
| 1:15.6 | Credit Union, said, finally, some positive surprises as both headline and core inflation |
| 1:20.1 | beat forecasts. There was relief at the pump, but unfortunately, home and apartment costs |
| 1:24.2 | continue to rise and remain the main cause of inflation. Until those shelter costs begin their long-awaited fall, we won't see major drops in CPI. This comment really |
| 1:32.5 | highlights some of the issues with recent CPI data. While inflation is slowing, according to |
| 1:37.4 | BLS methodology, the progress is very uneven. Some segments of the economy still show massive |
| 1:42.4 | inflation while others are cooling rapidly. |
| 1:44.8 | Shelter is one of the most troubling segments still moving up at a 5.4% annualized rate. |
| 1:49.3 | That's a little cooler than the April numbers, and there are huge lags associated with that |
... |
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