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Yahoo Fantasy Forecast

Advanced Stats 101: What they are and what can they predict?

Yahoo Fantasy Forecast

Yahoo Sports

Football, Nfl, Sports News, News, Fantasy Football, Fantasy Sports, Sports

4.7737 Ratings

🗓️ 20 August 2020

⏱️ 49 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Dalton Del Don is joined by Ben Baldwin of The Athletic, aka the Computer Cowboy, to talk all advanced stats in fantasy and much more on the latest episode of the Yahoo Fantasy Football Forecast!First up, some news that scared probably everyone in the fantasy community: Miles Sanders got hurt in training camp with what is being called a “lower-body injury.” He’s been labeled week-to-week with the injury, and the talented RB will reportedly be ready for Week 1. Should fantasy managers be worried about Sanders, Yahoo’s consensus RB10?Next, Ben and Dalton get into some advanced stats, including the specific ones they look at, what those stats measure, and what they miss.what advanced stats do you look at? What do they measure? Why do they matter? What do they miss? These stats include EPA, CPOE and SOE. We promise these acronyms will make sense once you listen! (01:30)Dalton and Ben look through the quarterback landscape in the NFL and used advanced stats to take a look at some potential regression candidates, breakouts and players that have relocated like Tom Brady, Ryan Tannehill and Cam Newton to see how their 2020 seasons could turn out.Finally, Dalton and Ben discuss the state of the Seattle Seahawks, including their fantasy outlook, why Pete Carroll hates Russell Wilson (okay so maybe hate is too strong but just let the man throw the ball!), and the Jamal Adams trade. (40:30)Remember to stay tuned to the Yahoo Fantasy Football Forecast, which will now have FIVE new episodes per week!Follow Dalton: @daltondeldonFollow Ben: @benbbaldwinCheck out the rest of the Yahoo Sports Podcast family at https://apple.co/2Abi8jk or at yahoosports.com/podcasts See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Hello and welcome to the Yahoo Fantasy Football Forecast. I'm Dalton Del Don sitting in a place that is so many fires in California. It is dark outside, even though we're in the morning. I'm happy to be joined by Ben Baldwin of the Athletic. When we first earmarked this few weeks ago, the Powers at B said,

0:22.0

have me doing an advanced stat show. And I immediately thought of Ben. I emailed him out of the

0:27.1

blue, also known as the Computer Cowboy. Thanks for joining us, Ben. Thanks for having me.

0:32.7

Happy to talk about all these advanced stats and computer cowboy type things, and looking forward to this.

0:39.7

For sure. A couple quick headlines before we get to that. I wanted to spend this time

0:43.2

hyping up Damien Harris, who's looked so good in practice. But immediately before we started

0:48.0

recording, Miles Sanders has been listed as week to week with the lower body injury. Obviously,

0:53.8

that's big fantasy news.

0:55.6

It seems vague, and the latest reports is that he will be ready for week one. So hopefully

1:00.5

this is nothing. Obviously, you'd bump up Boston Scott. I personally haven't moved him

1:05.6

anywhere in my rankings, but if for some reason he had Sanders ahead of Henry, Mixon, Drake, or God forbid, Clyde Edwards, Hilaire,

1:13.4

then I'd consider maybe moving him down

1:15.2

because obviously a lower leg injury already right now

1:18.4

in a year this is bound to have so much uncertainty

1:20.6

isn't the best news.

1:23.0

All right, let's talk some stats.

1:26.1

Some can be descriptive versus predictive. They're just a piece

1:30.4

of the puzzle, man. No stat is perfect. In fantasy baseball, it seems like that world has embraced

1:35.9

them far more. You know, if you point to Babbip, you can point to regression. Football,

1:41.5

the world definitely exists. In fantasy, I feel like there are few people other than me writing about Wopper.

1:47.6

Um, I personally just like having a stat I can point to as after I make a statement as

1:52.2

opposed to just some subjective thing.

...

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