Adjusting for Volatility in Projections
RotoWire Fantasy Baseball Podcast
dj@rotowire.com
4.6 • 784 Ratings
🗓️ 21 September 2023
⏱️ 49 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | so often we talk about players in a vacuum we don't talk about them in terms of whether they're reliable |
| 0:08.6 | whether they're consistent enough this is a conversation we have with fred zinky a ral cohen chimed |
| 0:13.5 | in the conversation with me privately i thought we take it public and discuss volatility |
| 0:17.8 | and projections coming up next on the rotawire fantasy baseball podcast. |
| 0:34.7 | Hey, everybody. Welcome to the Rotowire fantasy baseball podcast. I'm Jeff Erickson here. And I'm with my good friend Ariel Cohen from the ATC projections. You know them very well. You've seen them everywhere. If you are in this industry, if you play in expert leagues, if you just follow the podcast sphere. Ariel is a huge, |
| 0:51.5 | vital component of that. Ariel, I thank you so much for coming on board today. Oh, thanks so much for that great introduction. And glad to be here. It's great to talk with you, Jeff. It's been a little while, but glad to talk to them baseball. Yeah. And there's, hey, we got races coming down on the stretch. We got some day games in about an hour. |
| 0:53.3 | So we'll get this done, |
| 1:11.0 | and then we can watch the braces again. And there's, hey, we got races coming down the stretch. We got some day games in about an hour. |
| 1:12.8 | So we'll get this done. |
| 1:14.5 | And then we can watch the braces again. |
| 1:16.2 | But we had a conversation. |
| 1:17.2 | Fred Zinke and I did. |
| 1:19.7 | We were talking Freddie Freeman, I think, was the impetus of this. |
| 1:25.1 | And it referred back to Mariano Rivera and talking about how we run our projections. You can do your, whichever way you do your projections, |
| 1:28.0 | whatever way you do your valuation, |
| 1:30.5 | you need to find a way to find consistency |
| 1:33.8 | or bake in volatility or lack thereof in your projections. |
| 1:38.0 | And, you know, |
| 1:38.4 | one of the things we dealt with is, |
| 1:39.9 | do you just artificially boost a player's stats? |
| 1:41.9 | And you're like, no, do not do that. |
| 1:46.2 | Yeah. |
... |
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