Adam Virgadamo: For Stocks, Reopening Is All About Nuance
Thoughts on the Market
Morgan Stanley
4.8 • 1.4K Ratings
🗓️ 3 May 2021
⏱️ 4 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
The reality of reopening is anything but cut and dry. And how the market is pricing, or failing to price, nuances should continue to be a key theme.
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. |
| 0:03.9 | I'm Adam Fergadamo, US equity strategist and head of thematic investing for Morgan Stanley. |
| 0:08.4 | Along with my colleagues bringing you a variety of perspectives, I'll be talking about how |
| 0:12.0 | investors may want to look for nuance in the reopening trade. |
| 0:15.4 | It's Monday, May 3rd at 11am in New York. |
| 0:19.5 | Much of our focus this year has been on an obvious but an important theme for markets, |
| 0:23.6 | and that is, what is the reality of reopening really look like versus the hope of reopening? |
| 0:28.0 | Let's start with the notion that the COVID economy brought immense change to the way we work, |
| 0:32.3 | to the way we live, and to the way we consume. |
| 0:34.5 | For many of us, the past year has meant working more at home and consuming more at home, |
| 0:38.9 | and our ability to do that required the acceleration of an ongoing trend, |
| 0:42.7 | the digitization of the economy. |
| 0:44.5 | With reopening now underway, vaccine distribution rising, and warmer weather ahead, |
| 0:48.9 | we think that means an even faster move toward reopening. |
| 0:51.7 | But as we approach the return to normal, the post-COVID normal won't look exactly like it did before. |
| 0:58.0 | So as the economy emerges into this new normal, |
| 1:00.7 | we think the market will be rightly focused on which changes are here to stay, |
| 1:04.0 | and which are reverting to old patterns. |
| 1:05.8 | And to add a bit of complication for investors, |
| 1:08.0 | we have to discover whether the market is correctly pricing this new normal. |
| 1:12.2 | So there are a few debates we're watching that are tied to reopening. |
| 1:15.2 | First, we're to margin shake out as productivity gains seen during the pandemic, |
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