a16z Podcast: Seeing into the Future -- Making Decisions, Telling Stories
The a16z Show
a16z
4.2 • 1.2K Ratings
🗓️ 8 September 2018
⏱️ 46 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | Hi, everyone. Welcome to the A6 and Z podcast. I'm Sonal and I'm here today with Chris Dixon, a general partner on A6 and Z Crypto, and Stephen B. Johnson, who is the author of many books, including where good ideas come from, the PBS series, How We Got to Now, a book on Play called Wonderland, and his latest book is F-sighted, which is how we make the decisions |
| 0:22.9 | that matter the most. So welcome. Thank you for having me. Could you start just telling us a little bit |
| 0:27.6 | about the book? Yeah, this is a book that has been a long time in the making, which is appropriate |
| 0:32.3 | for a book about long-term decision-making. It had a long incubation period. One of the things that occurred to me that |
| 0:39.2 | got me interested in this topic is that there had been a lot of material written, both in terms |
| 0:45.7 | of academic studies, but also in terms of kind of popular books. But a disproportionate amount of |
| 0:50.8 | that was focused on people making gut decisions or instinctual decisions. |
| 0:55.4 | Just like thinking fast and slow. |
| 0:57.1 | Also, Blank is like that. |
| 0:58.6 | It is amazing the amount of processing and all the heuristics we have for making short-term |
| 1:04.0 | instinctual decisions. |
| 1:04.9 | But the decisions that really matter the most are slow decisions, |
| 1:11.1 | are decisions that have a much longer, both time span |
| 1:13.9 | in terms of how much time you spend deliberating them |
| 1:17.3 | and then also the time span of their consequences. |
| 1:21.3 | And I got interested in what the kind of the science is |
| 1:25.5 | and some of the art in a way behind those kinds of decisions. Actually, |
| 1:29.7 | the book partially starts with the great excerpt in Charles Darwin's diaries where he's trying |
| 1:35.6 | to decide whether to get married. And it's a beautiful list where he's like, okay, against getting |
| 1:41.0 | married, I'll give up the clever conversation with men in clubs. |
| 1:45.3 | My favorite against marriage was less money for books, et cetera. |
| 1:49.5 | Yeah, yeah. |
... |
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