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Cato Podcast

A Plea for 'Market Monetarism'

Cato Podcast

Cato Institute

Immigration, News, News Commentary, Peace, 424708, Markets, Government, Libertarian, Policy, Politics, Cato, Defense

4.5979 Ratings

🗓️ 30 March 2015

⏱️ 7 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Would switching the Federal Reserve's target from interest rates to nominal GDP give the central bank much-needed discipline? Economist Scott Sumner says yes.

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Transcript

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0:00.0

This is the Cato Daily Podcast for Monday, March 30, 2015.

0:07.0

I'm Caleb Brown.

0:09.8

To bring accountability to the Federal Reserve. Economist Scott Sumner proposes

0:14.4

targeting nominal GDP over targeting interest rates.

0:18.2

Sumner is the chair of monetary policy at the Mercatus Center.

0:21.5

He blogs at Money Illusion. We spoke today.

0:25.0

If you could briefly describe what you call market monetarism.

0:31.0

Okay, market monetism has several tenants.

0:35.0

One is that we look at nominal GDP, which is the total dollar spending in the economy on all goods and services,

0:42.0

as the key monetary variable to monitor and also to

0:45.8

target.

0:47.6

So we don't look, say at low interest rates as being an easy money policy.

0:52.2

We look at monetary policy in terms of its outcome,

0:55.0

what kind of nominal GDP growth is being produced.

0:58.4

We would argue that monetary policy is most stable when nominal GDP is growing at a slow but steady rate.

1:05.2

That's essentially the best policy target for the Federal Reserve.

1:10.3

Now that has a certain attraction to it because if you have very low interest rates and yet people are sitting on

1:17.6

Piles of cash anyway there's something fundamentally wrong with

1:22.2

Exactly the system.

1:23.4

And it's also easier to see the problem with interest rates on the high end.

1:27.6

Some of your viewers may recall in the 1970s we had very high inflation and also high nominal interest rates. Those tend to go hand in hand.

1:35.8

So what happens is people get confused because they think of high interest rates as tight

...

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