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Make Me Smart

A new normal for interest rates?

Make Me Smart

Marketplace

Business, News

4.65.5K Ratings

🗓️ 11 July 2024

⏱️ 22 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

If you’re waiting for interest rates to fall back to the near-zero levels of the 2010s, don’t hold your breath. On Capitol Hill this week, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell told senators that era is probably over. We’ll get into it. And, we’ll unpack why more NATO members are spending more on defense and what’s causing widespread financial strain for hospitals and health systems. Plus, how things could change for federal agencies and lawmakers in a post-Chevron doctrine world.

Here’s everything we talked about today:

We love to hear from you. Send your questions and comments to makemesmart@marketplace.org or leave us a voicemail at 508-U-B-SMART.

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

But I am good to go when you all are.

0:05.0

Yeah, me too.

0:07.0

Hello everyone, I'm going to. Hello everyone, I'm Kimberly Adams. Welcome back to Make Me Smart where we make

0:17.2

today makes sense. And I'm Sabrie Beneschoor in for Ky Rizdahl. Thanks everybody

0:21.6

for joining us. It is Thursday July 11th.

0:24.5

And it's our audio show day, so today we're going to listen back to some of the big

0:28.9

stories of the week and some clips from stories that we've been working on.

0:34.0

So let's hear our first clip from Federal Reserve Chair J Powell.

0:39.0

I think my sense and pretty commonly people think we probably won't go back to that era between

0:46.4

global financial crisis and that pandemic where rates were very, very low and inflation was

0:51.0

very low.

0:52.0

You go ahead and take this one, Sabrie.

0:55.0

Yeah, so he's talking about the, really what he's talking about is the neutral rate.

0:59.0

So the neutral rate of interest is the rate that keeps everything in the economy going as it should.

1:09.0

You know inflation's not too bad.

1:11.3

The labor market is reasonable, it's not overheating. is not

1:13.3

too bad. The labor market is reasonable, it's not overheating, the economy is not overheating,

1:16.6

but it's not slowing down, everything is kind of cool.

1:19.5

The problem there though is that that rate is kind of theoretical and you don't quite know exactly what it is for sure until like like two years later

1:31.6

So you can only sort of see it in retrospect, but you still need to have

1:35.7

an idea of what it is. And the problem is that it's changed. It has changed. Almost

1:41.4

certainly it has changed, which you know, you can tell kind of by the fact that the, you know,

...

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