A new era for the housing market?
The Bottom Line
BBC
4.6 • 615 Ratings
🗓️ 3 November 2022
⏱️ 29 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
What will higher interest rates on borrowing money mean for the property market and what happens if house prices fall? Evan Davis discusses mortgages and housing in new economic times.
Guests: Vanessa McCallum, Owner of Vanessa McCallum Estates Ray Boulger, Senior Technical Manager at John Charcol Mortgage Brokers David Miles, Professor of Financial Economics at Imperial College London Production coordinators: Siobhan Reid and Helena Warwick-Cross Presenter: Evan Davis Producers: Louise Byrne, Kirsteen Knight and Nick Holland Editor: Simon Watts
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Hello, welcome to the programme. We are making a transition from an era of ultra-low interest rates, |
| 0:05.8 | sometimes really zero, in fact, to one where maybe three or four percent is a norm, |
| 0:11.2 | no need to get hung up on the exact level. And there is no piece of our economy, |
| 0:16.0 | more affected by this transition than housing. Home buyers, the buy-to-letters, the sellers, the estate agents, |
| 0:23.1 | the banks lending money, all are affected as the cost of borrowing changes. So is this a pivotal |
| 0:29.2 | moment for the housing market? With everything that is going on, we thought that should be our |
| 0:33.8 | question today. How painful will the move to a new interest rate environment be |
| 0:38.3 | for those in the business? What does it mean for house prices, mortgages and estate agents? |
| 0:43.3 | Now I have three guests with me, an economist, an estate agent, and a mortgage broker, |
| 0:48.3 | and if between us we can't make some progress on this topic, then surely no one can. |
| 0:53.3 | So first let me introduce our estate agent, Vanessa McCallum, founder and director of Vanessa |
| 0:59.2 | McCallum Estates. |
| 1:00.5 | It's an independent estate agency based in Hertfordshire. |
| 1:04.0 | So just tell us a little about your business, Vanessa. |
| 1:05.9 | We are an independent, bespoke online estate agency, specialising in sort of mid to high end properties, |
| 1:12.0 | although we cover everything from studio flats to very large homes, predominantly around North |
| 1:16.5 | London through to Barnett, Hadleywood, Potter's Bar, Brutman's Park, Cuffley, through to Welling Garden City. |
| 1:21.5 | Right. How has business been in the last month or two? |
| 1:26.5 | It's definitely altered from a seller's market to a buyer's market very quickly. |
| 1:31.9 | And I've been doing this 24 years now. |
| 1:34.5 | This is probably the quickest change we've had. |
| 1:36.7 | Up until June, everything was going very well. |
... |
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