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The James Altucher Show

A Mercenary's Guide to Midterm Gambling | Phillip Stutts

The James Altucher Show

James Altucher

Business, Education

4.62.7K Ratings

🗓️ 4 October 2022

⏱️ 74 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Political operative Phillip Stutts, founder and CEO of political marketing company Go Big Media and corporate marketing company Win Big Media, joins the show to discuss James' 2022 midterm election bets and how & why the numbers on PredictIt may vary significantly from more tailored polling models.Additional Topics Include:The 'Shy' Trump voter, the 'Hidden' Trump voter, and the 'Submerged' Trump voter (13:14)Registered voters vs 'highly motivated' registered voters (22:19)The impact of the Roe v. Wade Situation in 2022 Midterms (36:00)76.8% of Americans identify as struggling to get by with basic necessities (40:22)2024 Presidential Nomination Contenders (47:24)Has the Fed gone overboard in "talking down" the economy? (66:27)Editor's note: Topic times don't account for sponsor ads and may appear a few minutes later in the episode on your podcast player)------------Visit Notepd.com to read our idea lists & sign up to create your own!My new book Skip the Line is out! Make sure you get a copy wherever books are sold!Join the You Should Run for President 2.0 Facebook Group, where we discuss why you should run for President.I write about all my podcasts! Check out the full post and learn what I learned at jamesaltucher.com/podcast.------------Thank you so much for listening! If you like this episode, please rate, review, and subscribe  to "The James Altucher Show" wherever you get your podcasts: Apple PodcastsStitcheriHeart RadioSpotifyFollow me on Social Media:YouTubeTwitterFacebook ------------What do YOU think of the show? Head to JamesAltucherShow.com/listeners and fill out a short survey that will help us better tailor the podcast to our audience!Are you interested in getting direct answers from James about your question on a podcast? Go to JamesAltucherShow.com/AskAltucher and send in your questions to be answered on the air!------------Visit Notepd.com to read our idea lists & sign up to create your own!My new book, Skip the Line, is out! Make sure you get a copy wherever books are sold!Join the You Should Run for President 2.0 Facebook Group, where we discuss why you should run for President.I write about all my podcasts! Check out the full post and learn what I learned at jamesaltuchershow.com------------Thank you so much for listening! If you like this episode, please rate, review, and subscribe to "The James Altucher Show" wherever you get your podcasts: Apple PodcastsiHeart RadioSpotifyFollow me on social media:YouTubeTwitterFacebookLinkedIn See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Transcript

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0:00.0

I love elections.

0:09.9

Not so much the issues because everybody argues and you lose friends, but I love the

0:15.2

game of elections.

0:17.3

And in fact, I've been following elections since I was 12 years old and I'm obsessed with

0:21.5

them.

0:22.5

And in fact, I also gamble on elections.

0:25.8

So of course, I call the world's greatest expert on elections, Phil Stutz.

0:33.0

This guy has run hundreds of political campaigns for governor, for senator, for house, and even

0:39.6

for president.

0:40.6

He's been on the podcast a bunch of times to talk about elections.

0:43.6

And specifically, he's politically neutral, but this is what he does for a living.

0:47.8

He is the world's expert on election campaigning.

0:51.4

So he knows everything that's going on.

0:53.6

And he really changed my direction on some bets that I've been making.

0:57.1

So we talk about the 2022 midterm elections, who's going to take over the house, who's

1:02.0

going to take over the Senate, what elections are close, what they're doing about it.

1:05.4

There was a lot of interesting things I didn't know about how one should figure this stuff

1:10.8

out.

1:12.2

And we talk about the 2024 elections.

1:14.8

Who's going to run, what's the dynamic about, well, Joe Biden run, well, Donald Trump

1:19.1

run, well, Ron DeSantis run, well, Gavin Newsom run.

1:22.7

He gives the whole lay down.

...

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