A-level algorithms, poker and buses
More or Less
BBC
4.6 • 3.7K Ratings
🗓️ 19 August 2020
⏱️ 28 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
We unpick the A-level algoshambles, discover why 1.3 million Covid tests disappeared from the government's statistics last week, and for reasons that may become clear, we examine the chance of being hit by a bus. Plus, what does poker teach us about the role of randomness in our lives?
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | BBC Sounds Music Radio Podcasts |
| 0:04.5 | Hello and welcome to More or Less, the show that gets an A for pedantry and a |
| 0:10.3 | star for statistical understanding and a U for attempts at topical humour. |
| 0:15.5 | What's that Cape? |
| 0:17.3 | We've actually just been upgraded to a C. |
| 0:19.1 | Oh a C, who'd have thought it? |
| 0:21.9 | I'm Tim Haafard back in the studio for the first time since March and yes it does feel |
| 0:27.7 | weird in a good way. |
| 0:29.7 | Thank you for asking. |
| 0:31.1 | This week producer Kate Lamble gives us her testing swan song. |
| 0:35.8 | For reasons that may become clear we examine the chance of being hit by a double decker |
| 0:39.8 | bus. |
| 0:40.8 | And what does poker teach us about the role of randomness in our lives? |
| 0:46.1 | But first the story of the week has been the use of algorithms, that is statistical |
| 0:51.3 | recipes, to hand out A level grades. |
| 0:54.4 | On average the grades that the algorithm awarded were up, indeed at record levels. |
| 0:59.8 | But many students were not given the grades they hoped for and that they might well have |
| 1:04.6 | expected to earn had exams taken place. |
| 1:09.1 | And just as the Scottish government had done a week ago, the authorities in England, |
| 1:13.9 | Wales and Northern Ireland have decided to scrap the algorithm entirely and rely on the |
| 1:20.0 | assessments provided by the school, swapping one problem for a different one. |
| 1:25.4 | I have received many requests to wave my statistical magic wand and fix everything. |
... |
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