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More or Less

A&E waiting times

More or Less

BBC

News Commentary, Science, Mathematics, News

4.63.7K Ratings

🗓️ 9 January 2015

⏱️ 28 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The NHS in England has missed its four-hour A&E waiting time target with performance dropping to its lowest level for a decade, it's reported. Tim Harford takes a closer look at the numbers. Plus: do 85 people really own half the world's wealth; bad luck and cancer; beware the statistics which are true but unfair; and the dubious fashion for international rankings.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Thank you for downloading the More or Less podcast from the BBC,

0:04.0

statistically proven to be the very best numbers programme around.

0:08.0

This is the extended edition of the programme, first broadcast on BBC Radio 4.

0:13.0

Hello and welcome to More or Less, the programme which resolves each year

0:18.0

to cut down on unhealthy junk news and eat more tasty and nutritious statistics.

0:24.0

This week, cancer, huge BBC mistakes about inequality, NHS waiting times,

0:31.0

and statistical whoppers that are true but deeply misleading.

0:36.0

Six hospitals declare major incidents amid the worst A&D waiting figure times for a decade.

0:43.0

This week, NHS England published figures that revealed it had missed

0:47.0

its four-hour accident and emergency waiting time target.

0:51.0

That's bad news in itself, but the numbers were particularly troublesome

0:55.0

with performance dropping to its lowest level for a decade.

0:59.0

Well the news prompted many loyal listeners to write to More or Less at

1:03.0

bbc.co.uk to ask us questions, such as this one, from Rachel.

1:08.0

Have you considered looking at the reporting of the latest NHS winter crisis?

1:13.0

There are lots of percentages being bandied about, without any contextualising numbers,

1:18.0

so it all feels pretty meaningless to me.

1:21.0

Well, the government target used to be that 98% of people attending A&E

1:26.0

should be seen in less than four hours.

1:29.0

It's been relaxed to 95%, but nevertheless the NHS is still missing the target.

1:36.0

In the period October to December 2014, only 92.6% of people attending A&E

1:43.0

were seen within four hours.

...

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