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The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast

893: Regression Candidates

The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast

The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast

Football, Fantasy Sports, Fantasyfootball, Sports

4.93.1K Ratings

🗓️ 23 July 2024

⏱️ 19 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

JJ talks through a handful of regression candidates to get you prepared for your 2024 fantasy football drafts.

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Transcript

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0:00.0

This is the late round podcast with your host, J.J. Zacharre

0:06.7

reason.

0:08.7

What's up everyone? It's J.J. Zachareason in this episode 893 of the late

0:16.7

round fantasy football podcast sponsored by Underdog Fantasy. Thanks for

0:21.6

tuning in. The term regression gets thrown around pretty loosely in the fantasy football space.

0:27.0

If you've listened or read to fantasy content before whether it's mine or not, you've likely heard the term.

0:32.0

Regression is a return to a former or less. not, you've likely heard the term.

0:32.8

Regression is a return to a former or less developed state.

0:36.6

In statistics, if one sample of a random variable is extreme,

0:40.7

the next sampling of the same random variable is likely to be closer to its mean or

0:45.2

its average. It's like when you go and play some golf. You usually shoot 90 and

0:50.5

one day you shoot an 80 but you didn't do anything special that day

0:54.6

Maybe things just went your way

0:56.7

You should expect that number to regress back to your mean which is 90 the next time you play some golf

1:03.4

Regression everywhere in fantasy football.

1:05.8

This is a numbers driven game.

1:07.7

It's also a game of small sample sizes.

1:10.5

Some crazy things can happen in a 17 game sample.

1:14.0

But we can use historical data to help us understand what's reasonably sustainable and what isn't.

1:20.0

And that's what regression is all about in this game. It helps us

1:25.2

understand if something is truly achievable, consistently achievable, or not.

1:30.0

And that's important because a lot of times you'll find that fantasy managers

...

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