This is the Late Round Podcast with your host, J.J. Zacharre

reason.

What's up everyone? It's J.J. Zacharyson in this episode 883 of the late

round fantasy football podcast sponsored by Underdog Fantasy. Thanks for

tuning in.

As almost all of you know I have a prospect model and a year two model.

The prospect model called the ZAP model helps me project how a player is going to perform during the first three years of his career.

The year two model takes inputs from a prospect's first season in the NFL and it tells me

which players are best set up for their second and third seasons in the league.

I'm confident in those models because I've tested them.

I also now have a few years of being an analyst while using them and I've seen good results anecdotally. The models changed a bit

this off-season but the backbone's still there. I know that the ZAP model the

prospect model is more predictive than rookie draft

average draft position when looking at a player's first three years in the league.

What I don't fully know is whether or not we can use these models for our season-long leagues, our redraft leagues.

So of course, I did a little data analysis to find out.

I looked at historical average draft position data or ADP data and sort of layered prospect scores in year two scores on top.

And I want to share some of those results.

Today I'll be talking running back. Next week I'll do the same thing but at wide receiver.

Now before digging in I want to remind you about a special underdog fantasy offer.

If you've never played over at Underdog, you should change that immediately.

They've got Best Ball Drafts a great pick-um game and more for you to try out. Yours truly is going hard

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