What's up everyone, it's JJ Zachary Sin in this episode, 782 of the Late Round Fantasy

Football Podcast sponsored by Fandool.

Thanks for tuning in.

When it comes to the term regression, you likely understand it by its typical definition.

It's a return to a previous and less advanced or worse state, condition, or way of behaving.

Regressions a little bit different when we look at it mathematically.

Many assume that regression means getting worse at something as the definition states.

But when a fantasy football analyst like myself is talking regression, we're really

just referring to regression to the mean.

And that says that if one sample of a random variable is extreme, the next sampling of

the same random variable is likely to be closer to its mean or its average.

If you go golfing and you shoot an 85 when you typically shoot a 95, the next time you

golf, you're probably going to be closer to that 95 number.

Because 95 is your average, it's your mean.

You didn't necessarily get better when you shot that 85.

You just had some lucky bounces and you had a good day.

In that case, don't confuse regression with progression.

Regression means you actually got better.

You developed into a more advanced state.

Now players in football progress all the time.

A rookie tight end gets better from year one to year two because he gains experience

in the NFL.

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