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The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast

742: Mailbag 2/24/23

The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast

iHeartPodcasts

Sports, Fantasy Sports, Football

4.8 • 3.2K Ratings

🗓️ 24 February 2023

⏱️ 17 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

On this week's mailbag episode, JJ rants about Drake London​'s dynasty value, talks about how to properly weigh early-declare status when prospecting wide receivers, shares some Treylon Burks​ analysis, and more.

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

What's up everyone it's JJ Zachary sin in this episode 742 of the Late Round Fantasy

0:17.0

Football Podcast sponsored by Fandool.

0:21.7

Thanks for tuning in.

0:23.2

Something that you get in the Late Round prospect guide is analysis on the year 2 model.

0:27.5

I know a lot of you have been listening to this show so far this off season so you know

0:30.8

what that model is all about.

0:32.4

For those who are unaware, it's a model that looks at the previous year's draft class

0:36.0

and tries to predict how those players are going to do in years 2 and 3 in fantasy football.

0:40.5

So what you should expect from Chris Alave or Christian Watson or Isaiah Pacheco.

0:44.7

The year 2 model tries to predict best season points per game in year 2 or year 3.

0:51.0

And both models that running back in wide receiver are a lot more predictive than rookie

0:55.0

season points per game itself.

0:57.7

I built those models last year they're pretty new.

1:00.8

This off season I wanted to see if I could make them better and that's what I've worked

1:04.8

on over the last couple of weeks.

1:06.8

Unfortunately I have made them better.

1:09.2

I've tested and they're now more predictive than where they were a year ago.

1:13.3

That's especially true at wide receiver.

1:16.0

At running back things can get kind of wonky because running back volume comes down to

1:19.2

a coaching decision.

1:20.4

You hope that talented running backs went out but if a coach says I want to split back

1:24.6

field then that can really ruin our predictions for that position.

...

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