5 • 774 Ratings
🗓️ 1 June 2023
⏱️ 14 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
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7 Wide Receivers You Need to Draft Before They Breakout in 2023 Fantasy Football.
--- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/salvetri/supportClick on a timestamp to play from that location
0:00.0 | You've got to see this key finding that I found. |
0:02.5 | If a wide receiver hits certain production marks in his first two years, |
0:06.9 | he'll have a 93% chance to finish as a top 24 receiver at some point in his career. |
0:12.7 | Now, here's the interesting part. |
0:14.1 | The wide receivers that we're talking about today have hit these marks, |
0:17.6 | but are going on average as the 35th wide receivers in drafts. These are the exact |
0:22.0 | guys you need to draft before they break out in 2023. And let's begin with Falcons wide receiver |
0:27.3 | Drake London, the first receiver taken in the draft last year, who quietly had a great rookie year. |
0:31.6 | What you're seeing right now is last year's wide receiver efficiency, yards per outrun ranked, |
0:36.2 | and Drake London was tied for 13th, |
0:38.7 | right around Keenan Allen, he was above Amari Cooper and guys like Jamar Chase. And that's not all |
0:43.1 | because he was 32nd in target rate, his targets per route run, which was second in the NFL |
0:48.3 | only behind Devante Adams. And this metric typically holds steady or improves as you gain |
0:53.5 | more experience, which means London's about to explode. |
0:56.5 | And one more thing. Last year, London only scored four touchdowns, but based on his usage, he was |
1:01.3 | actually expected to score eight, the 10th most in the league. And he finished 20th and expected |
1:06.3 | points amongst wide receivers, which is better than where he's currently going in drafts right now. |
1:10.5 | And perhaps the most impressive part is he did this in arguably the worst situation you could |
1:14.4 | have been in. At least the second worst situation, Atlanta threw just 24.4 times per game |
1:19.4 | ranking 31st in the NFL last year. And his quarterback for a lot of the year was Marcus Marriota, |
1:24.1 | who was 31st in completion percentage, 33rd in deep ball accuracy. I mean, |
1:28.0 | he just had no help at the position. So much so that over 25% of his targets weren't even |
... |
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