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The Fantasy Football Club with Sal Vetri

7 Best NBA Picks You Must Take on Thursday (February 2nd)

The Fantasy Football Club with Sal Vetri

Sal Vetri

Sports, Fantasy Sports

5.0784 Ratings

🗓️ 2 February 2023

⏱️ 10 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

7 Best NBA Picks You Must Take on Thursday (February 2nd)...


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Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

107. That is the number of bets I have analyzed this morning. And these are the seven that the

0:05.1

sports books don't want you to know about. Let's start with DeRosen, whose prop is at four and a half

0:10.0

rebounds. And now, if we look at his game logs, in three straight games, his rebounds over here,

0:14.3

he's actually been under this, which is two, two, two, and three. He's only averaging 2.3 rebounds to past three games. Let's dive deeper here. Let's see if there's

0:21.8

a reason behind this. And if there is, maybe we take the under and we've identified a trend.

0:25.8

So on the season, De Rosen is averaging eight and a half rebound chances per game. And now over

0:29.6

these last three games, he's seeing eight rebound chances. So pretty much similar to his

0:33.8

season average. And when De Rosen earns his normal season average of eight and a half rebound chances, it translates to five rebounds a game. So he's been seeing his same usage on the

0:42.1

season that gets him five rebounds a game, but he's only seen two, two, two and three rebounds

0:45.3

the past couple of games. And in my opinion, this just means that he's been unlucky. He's on an

0:49.6

unlucky stretch. But that's a change soon because today he takes on the Hornets who allow the third most rebounds over eight and a half per game to De Rosen's position. So because of this, we're

0:58.6

going to go ahead and take the over on Demar DeRosa. So we start to show off with a little bit of an

1:02.6

over. Everybody loves that singing kumbai eyes. But how about this next player, a superstar?

1:07.1

In Mr. Kauai Leonard, who has a points prop today that is setting out at 27 and a half points similar

1:12.3

to what he had last game when he went over this number. Now look, Kauai has been on a tear. If you look at

1:16.3

his points in this far right column right here, 33, 32, 27, if you keep scrolling down for 10 games,

1:22.2

a 30, a 36, right? You keep scrolling down, he's been averaging 30 points per game over his last 10

1:27.8

games. And he's shooting over 60% from the field during this time, which is nearly 10% more

1:32.7

than his season average of 56%. The dead simple translation to everything I just said is that

1:37.7

Kawhi Leonard is hot right now. But it leaves me to ask the question, why is Kawhi Leonard playing

1:43.1

so good? Is it just he's getting

1:44.3

hot all of a sudden or can we dive deeper? Well, let's look at his matchups over these last 10 games.

...

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