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The Fantasy Football Club with Sal Vetri

7 Best NBA Bets for Friday (March 18th)

The Fantasy Football Club with Sal Vetri

Sal Vetri

Fantasy Sports, Sports

5.0 β€’ 784 Ratings

πŸ—“οΈ 18 March 2022

⏱️ 10 minutes

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Summary

7 Best NBA Bets for Friday (March 18th)


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SPORTS BETTING STRATEGY - How to WIN Money Betting On Sports - 5 Tips

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Transcript

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0:00.0

Seven bets to close out the week on a Friday in the NBA, and we're starting with Zach Levine.

0:04.6

And more specifically, his points rebounds and assists number set at 32 and a half.

0:08.4

Now, Levine's game environment is as average as it gets, around 112 team total and league

0:12.9

average pace.

0:13.7

But the matchup is not average.

0:15.5

A matchup against Phoenix is not a good one as they rank second on the season and defensive

0:19.3

efficiency.

0:19.8

And they're basically average to above average at defending every single part of the shot chart, a three-pointers,

0:25.3

the rim, and the mid-range. Now, Levine is going to benefit from some injuries on his team today.

0:29.9

His production will go up because of Lonzo ball remaining out. And Lonzo being out a lot this year

0:34.6

has led to Levine having some really impressive numbers. So far in 2020,

0:38.3

he is sporting an elite 30% usage rate, a 21% assist percentage, which is the 95th percentile,

0:44.3

and a very strong for the position he plays 13% rebounding rate. Now, I will call out that Levine

0:49.3

shoots about 30% of his shots from mid-range. That's an above-average number and it's important to call out because

0:54.3

that's the worst spot that Phoenix is at defending. Levine is someone who plays big minutes,

0:58.1

36 plus and four of his last five and you can expect about 36 tonight. So looking at this prop number

1:03.8

of 32 and a half, which way do I lean on it? Well, let's look at him this year without Lonzo Ball. Without ball, Levine is averaging 34.5.6.9 assists and 6.7 rebounds per 48

1:14.2

minutes. That totals around 48 points rebounds and assists. And if we were to scale that down for the

1:18.7

matchup and also him playing 36 minutes tonight, it would look something like this. 25.8 points,

1:23.8

5.2 assists and 5.1 rebounds, which is higher than his 32.5 prop number, so we're taking

1:29.2

the over here. So let's go from one big city in Chicago to the next in Dallas. I'm looking

1:33.7

at Jalen Brunson's points, rebounds, and assists number here set at 22.5. Now, like Zach Levine,

...

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