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The David Pakman Show

6/13/24: Hunter/Michelle conspiracy goes wild, corporate media ignoring Trump's mental illness

The David Pakman Show

David Pakman

News, Politics

4.86.2K Ratings

🗓️ 13 June 2024

⏱️ 65 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

-- On the Show: -- Dan Harris, author of 10% Happier, host of the 10% Happier podcast, and former ABC news anchor who embraced mindfulness after having a panic attack on live TV, joins David to discuss his more recent work, anxiety, panic attacks, and more. Get the new version of his book: https://amzn.to/3XhzDtN -- 538 publishes its first 2024 election project, which slightly favors Joe Biden defeating Donald Trump in the November presidential election -- Hunter Biden's conviction revives the long-debunked conspiracy theory about Michelle Obama replacing President Joe Biden on the 2024 Democratic presidential ticket -- Republican Senator Mitch McConnell admits that he will not say a word during his upcoming meeting to Donald Trump about the January 6 riots, or anything Trump has done wrong -- Fox News host Jesse Watters looks perplexed as boxer Jake Paul tries to explain why voting for Donald Trump is a good idea -- A discussion about why corporate media is ignoring Donald Trump's increasingly obvious mental illness -- The story of Donald Trump's crumbling brain hits MSNBC in a segment with anchor Nicole Wallace -- Voicemail caller says it's a waste of time to talk to and appear on Megyn Kelly's show -- On the Bonus Show: House votes to hold AG Garland in contempt, North Dakota voters pass measure to impose age limits on Congressional candidates, Debbie Mucarsel-Powell surges in US Senate poll against Rick Scott, much more... 😺 Smalls cat food: Use code PAKMAN for 50% off & free shipping at https://smalls.com/pakman 🖼️ Aura Frames: Use code PAKMAN for $30 OFF & free shipping at https://auraframes.com/pakman 👍 Buy the FÜM Journey Pack and use code PAKMAN for a FREE GIFT at https://tryfum.com/pakman ⚠️ Try Ground News and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan at https://ground.news/pakman -- Become a Member: https://www.davidpakman.com/membership -- Become a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/davidpakmanshow -- TDPS Subreddit: http://www.reddit.com/r/thedavidpakmanshow/ -- Pakman Discord: https://www.davidpakman.com/discord -- David on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/davidpakmanshow -- Leave a Voicemail: (219)-2DAVIDP Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome everybody. We start with what it's considered a big deal in the election projection sort of industry today which is that 538 has

0:16.0

published its first 2024 election projection Trump versus Biden and the results can we call them stunning can we

0:26.7

call them shocking can we call them surprising I don't know where that noise

0:31.4

came from no we really can't call them any of those things. We can call them

0:37.1

corroborating of exactly what I've been laying out to you for months now. The 538 projection who is favored to win the

0:45.4

2024 presidential election 53 times out of a hundred in simulations

0:51.6

Biden wins 53 out of a hundred in simulations Biden wins 53 out of a hundred and in 47 out of a hundred What this means is that it is a toss-up. What this means is that exactly what I have

1:05.4

been saying, those who are confidently declaring that Biden obviously will win or

1:11.2

not basing their projection in reality.

1:13.7

Those who are confidently projecting that it is Donald Trump who will win or not basing

1:17.9

their projection in reality and that this is likely to come down to a relatively

1:22.3

small number of votes in a small number of states.

1:25.2

Now let's dig into the simulation a little bit more deeply.

1:30.5

As you can see here there is a sort of distribution curve, and I'll describe what we're looking at for people who are only listening.

1:37.0

There's a distribution curve of possible outcomes, and as you can see, they are really grouped right around the middle.

1:44.0

You could make the case that there are more scenarios in which Trump wins.

1:50.0

This isn't really an accurate interpretation of this model. What the model does

1:54.9

suggest is that some of Trump's paths to 270 electoral votes include a larger

2:02.1

margin of victory than some of Biden's and that's by the very

2:05.3

nature of which states are definitely going to go Biden and Trump and and sort of

2:09.9

the realities of that. If you're interested in seeing the full list of polls

2:14.2

that 538 uses in making these projections you can do that it's not super

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