4.6 • 2.7K Ratings
🗓️ 21 May 2020
⏱️ 68 minutes
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0:00.0 | This isn't your average business podcast and he's not your average host. |
0:06.6 | This is the James Altiger Show. |
0:12.6 | Today on the James Altiger Show. |
0:15.8 | I don't know if you call it credential bias or what, but this idea that some people are |
0:19.9 | experts when in fact, what we're calling the experts are the scientists and not necessarily |
0:25.9 | the inventors. |
0:27.0 | We see this with this recent pandemic that, oh, we need to trust the mathematical models |
0:31.7 | of the experts and it turns out every single one of those models is wrong, but still every |
0:36.4 | step of the way people say, I think I'm going to leave this to the experts. |
0:39.8 | Like there's sort of shut down if you are an un credentialed skeptic. |
0:44.6 | I think, well, first of all, you have to understand that science and technology involves disagreement. |
0:49.9 | You're going to have different people with different ideas about how to interpret data |
0:53.2 | and what the data says, et cetera, et cetera. |
0:55.4 | And where you get truth is from the clash between ideas. |
0:58.9 | That's one important thing. |
1:00.4 | But the second thing is, yes, of course, there is such a thing as expertise. |
1:04.7 | I'm not here to say I want my bridge that I drive over, built by five-year-olds. |
1:11.6 | The fact that the bridge doesn't fall down is because someone has expertise. |
1:16.2 | But that doesn't mean that there is such a thing as an expert on the future. |
1:22.1 | And I think this is the really important distinction that one needs to make. |
1:27.0 | And this is where we're getting into trouble with the modeling of the epidemic at the moment, |
1:30.4 | is we're supposing that there are people who are experts at forecasting. |
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