4.8 • 764 Ratings
🗓️ 4 November 2024
⏱️ 108 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Marty sits down with James Pierog to discuss Bitcoin Prediction Market.
James on Twitter: https://x.com/BillyHongBeats
Bitcoin Prediction Market: https://www.bitcoinprediction.info/
0:00 - Intro
1:38 - Arriving at Bitcoin Prediction Market
12:03 - Comparing to Polymarket and crypto model
16:37 - Unchained & Coinkite
18:31 - Prediction algorithm
21:30 - Predicting and potentially preventing conflicts
30:41 - BOLT12, ecash and DLCs
37:28 - Zaprite and SOTE
39:01 - BPM vs Polymarket UX simplicity
44::36 - Oracle problem and centralization
49:13 - Trust and debt
57:06 - Singapore's authoritarianism unlocked bitcoin for James
1:08:32 - Psychic powers and tools for liberation
1:24:37 - Feather forks and ordinals
1:31:17 - Monetizing art and industry power games
1:38:35 - Adoption inertia and timing
1:43:34 - Native use case and exchange theory of value
1:47:27 - Final thoughts
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Click on a timestamp to play from that location
0:00.0 | Having this prediction market where people can see potential futures, that creates this potential for observation. |
0:07.6 | And that observation changes reality. |
0:09.3 | James Peerog, co-founder and CEO of BitcoinPrediction.Market, runs a lightning network-powered betting platform. |
0:17.1 | Today, he discusses Bitcoin's potential for prediction markets, its advantages as a development |
0:22.1 | platform over other cryptocurrencies, and its role in reducing governmental control. |
0:27.2 | They want everyone to be subservient in some way. |
0:30.1 | Don't rise up, because if you are in competition with them, then you're a potential threat. |
0:34.9 | Singapore, where I was, it was a complete authoritarian |
0:37.5 | shithole. You had literal robot dogs monitoring the migrant workers who are essentially |
0:42.0 | treated as slaves. The thing about Bitcoin is that they can't stop you. I think prediction markets |
0:46.9 | are kind of that next killer app they can use their money as speech. What's going to be the thing |
0:52.3 | that lasts for another 10 years, 15 years, 20 years, |
0:55.4 | 50 years? It seems like no matter who wins the election, there's going to be a dispute. |
1:00.0 | Problems that arises with prediction markets is the Oracle problem. How are you guys approaching |
1:04.1 | the Oracle problem? |
1:15.0 | You've had a dynamic where money has become freer than free. |
1:18.1 | You talk about a Fed just gone nuts. |
1:20.8 | All the central banks going nuts. |
1:22.9 | So it's all acting like safe haven. |
1:30.3 | I believe that in a world where central bankers are tripping over themselves to devalue their currency, Bitcoin wins. In the world of fiat currencies, Bitcoin is the victor. |
1:33.3 | I mean, that's part of the bold case for Bitcoin. |
1:36.3 | If you're not paying attention, you probably should be. |
... |
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