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TFTC: A Bitcoin Podcast

#552: How Bitcoin Could Predict The Next Global Conflict with James Pierog

TFTC: A Bitcoin Podcast

Marty Bent

Technology

4.8764 Ratings

🗓️ 4 November 2024

⏱️ 108 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Marty sits down with James Pierog to discuss Bitcoin Prediction Market.


James on Twitter: https://x.com/BillyHongBeats

Bitcoin Prediction Market: https://www.bitcoinprediction.info/


0:00 - Intro

1:38 - Arriving at Bitcoin Prediction Market

12:03 - Comparing to Polymarket and crypto model

16:37 - Unchained & Coinkite

18:31 - Prediction algorithm

21:30 - Predicting and potentially preventing conflicts

30:41 - BOLT12, ecash and DLCs

37:28 - Zaprite and SOTE

39:01 - BPM vs Polymarket UX simplicity

44::36 - Oracle problem and centralization

49:13 - Trust and debt

57:06 - Singapore's authoritarianism unlocked bitcoin for James

1:08:32 - Psychic powers and tools for liberation

1:24:37 - Feather forks and ordinals

1:31:17 - Monetizing art and industry power games

1:38:35 - Adoption inertia and timing

1:43:34 - Native use case and exchange theory of value

1:47:27 - Final thoughts


Shoutout to our sponsors:


Unchained

https://unchained.com/concierge/

Coinkite

https://coinkite.com/

Zaprite

https://zaprite.com/tftc

Salt of the Earth

https://drinksote.com/tftc



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Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Having this prediction market where people can see potential futures, that creates this potential for observation.

0:07.6

And that observation changes reality.

0:09.3

James Peerog, co-founder and CEO of BitcoinPrediction.Market, runs a lightning network-powered betting platform.

0:17.1

Today, he discusses Bitcoin's potential for prediction markets, its advantages as a development

0:22.1

platform over other cryptocurrencies, and its role in reducing governmental control.

0:27.2

They want everyone to be subservient in some way.

0:30.1

Don't rise up, because if you are in competition with them, then you're a potential threat.

0:34.9

Singapore, where I was, it was a complete authoritarian

0:37.5

shithole. You had literal robot dogs monitoring the migrant workers who are essentially

0:42.0

treated as slaves. The thing about Bitcoin is that they can't stop you. I think prediction markets

0:46.9

are kind of that next killer app they can use their money as speech. What's going to be the thing

0:52.3

that lasts for another 10 years, 15 years, 20 years,

0:55.4

50 years? It seems like no matter who wins the election, there's going to be a dispute.

1:00.0

Problems that arises with prediction markets is the Oracle problem. How are you guys approaching

1:04.1

the Oracle problem?

1:15.0

You've had a dynamic where money has become freer than free.

1:18.1

You talk about a Fed just gone nuts.

1:20.8

All the central banks going nuts.

1:22.9

So it's all acting like safe haven.

1:30.3

I believe that in a world where central bankers are tripping over themselves to devalue their currency, Bitcoin wins. In the world of fiat currencies, Bitcoin is the victor.

1:33.3

I mean, that's part of the bold case for Bitcoin.

1:36.3

If you're not paying attention, you probably should be.

...

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