meta_pixel
Tapesearch Logo
Log in
The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast

520: Team-Level Regression

The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast

iHeartPodcasts

Sports, Fantasy Sports, Football

4.83.2K Ratings

🗓️ 29 June 2021

⏱️ 16 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Given how teams scored touchdowns and called plays in 2020, what can we expect in 2021? Which teams are likely to regress to the mean this year? On Episode 520, JJ examines that question.

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

This is the Lay-Round Podcast with your host, JJ Zacharyse.

0:12.1

What's up everyone, it's JJ Zacharyse and the editor-in-chief at FandallnetNumberFire.com

0:17.1

and this episode 520 of the Lay-Round Podcasts, so many shows that are part of the Fandall

0:21.5

Podcast Network.

0:22.5

Thanks for tuning in.

0:25.0

I've said it time after time, but regression is everything in fantasy football.

0:29.0

The game of football is a pretty small sample game, and crazy things can happen in those

0:33.0

small samples.

0:34.0

But when fantasy managers are making decisions after the things they see and the statistics

0:38.1

they analyze within these small samples, that can cause issues.

0:42.5

Now fantasy managers are getting a lot better, and I mean a lot better at recognizing regression.

0:47.8

We see that reflected an average draft position each and every year.

0:51.7

Back in the day, a player having some insane outlier season would have almost guaranteed

0:55.8

a high draft slot the following year.

0:58.2

The public is sharper now though, so that doesn't happen at the same rate.

1:02.6

Even still it's good to spot where regression can occur year over year because it'll give

1:06.0

you a better grasp on both players and teams.

1:09.1

It'll make you a better fantasy football player.

1:11.4

And the team part is important here.

1:13.2

I think most people look at player level regression, but they'll often ignore the team element.

1:18.1

But everything on the projections front starts at the team level first, and there are

1:22.4

some really easy ways to spot team level regression.

...

Please login to see the full transcript.

Disclaimer: The podcast and artwork embedded on this page are from iHeartPodcasts, and are the property of its owner and not affiliated with or endorsed by Tapesearch.

Generated transcripts are the property of iHeartPodcasts and are distributed freely under the Fair Use doctrine. Transcripts generated by Tapesearch are not guaranteed to be accurate.

Copyright © Tapesearch 2026.