Picture this. Your fantasy football league championship trophy is just sitting over there on your

shelf and how did it get there? It's probably because you drafted at least one of the players

that is going to be in this video. These guys have the ability to tilt an entire fantasy season

because of their talent, opportunity, and overall situation. And we can get into it right away with

Jalen Hertz, who there's kind of this narrative around him right now and it's a little bit bizarre, like last year was a disappointing situation. And we can get into it right away with Jalen Hertz, who there's kind of this narrative around him right now, and it's a little bit bizarre, like last year was a disappointing season for Jalen Hertz. And if you want to talk about from a real life perspective and what he did as a passer towards the middle to end parts of the season, okay, I guess sure. But from a fantasy standpoint, you probably took him in the third round of your fantasy draft. He finished as the quarterback six with 21.3 fantasy points per game. Sure, his passing touchdowns came down,

but a reason why, and we're going to get into this, is because Saquan Barkley had one of the

most efficient rushing seasons ever, so there was a lot more rushing touchdowns in this offense

between both Saquan and Jalen Hertz. I mean, for crying out loud, the Eagles last year led the NFL with 621 rushing attempts.

The second team there was the Ravens, a very run-heavy team with Lamar Jackson and Derek

Henry.

Overall, those guys dominated, and they only had 554.

The Eagles literally had nearly 70 more carries than any other team in the league.

That is insane. They were averaging over 36 rush attempts per game. So yes, it was a very run first, a historically run first offense. And believe it or not, there has only been two NFL teams the last 15 years who have ran that much in the season. It was the Jets in 2009 and the Ravens in 2019. So odds are they're going to regress to passing more. Just to kind of nail home this point a little bit more, you had Jalen Hertz last year finishing as a number six overall fantasy QB, despite throwing just 24 times per game, ranking 22nd in the NFL. That was a massive drop-off from the year before, where he threw a hundred more times. He had 460 pass attempts, so I think we're going to get somewhere in the middle ground there. I think he's going to throw 400 plus times this year. And even with Sequin Barclay there, we already saw last year the rushing for Jalen Hertz was not an issue at all. He still led all quarterbacks with 14 rushing touchdowns. All the guy does is score rushing touchdowns. He ranked third in rushing yards with a very respectable 630 while his running back was rushing for 2,000 plus yards. And that's while he was a little bit banged up as well and they weren't using him as much in the run game. He still ran for over 40 yards per game. To drive this point home even more, he could check out Dynasty Dad over on Twitter. I like this tweet that he found over the last three seasons from 2022 to 2024. Jalen Hertz is averaging nearly 10 fantasy points per game just rushing. That

ranks first amongst quarterbacks. He has almost 2,000 total rushing yards as a quarterback

the last three years. That is third. And he has 42 rushing touchdowns easily leads the NFL.

He also leads the NFL in deep ball completion percentage. Expected points added on deep balls. Yes, Jalen Hertz does. And let's zoom out and look at not only his overall counting stats in production, but some of the efficiency metrics as well. Over the past few years, Jalen Hertz ranks fourth amongst all quarterbacks in yards per attempt and top 10 in true passer rating. And during that, as you can see, Ryan Heath, a great Twitter follow here says fantasy points per dropback. It's one of the most predictive stats by quarterbacks. I would say it is the best stat overall for quarterbacks. You're going to see a lot of mobile quarterbacks in here. The top six in this stat since 2022, Jalen Hertz, has had the second best total, only behind Lamar Jackson and barely behind Lamar Jackson.

He's been better than Josh Allen on a points per dropback standpoint, better than Jaden Daniels, who's only had one year. Brock Purdy's also in this, which makes him a sleeper as well as we get into some of the other videos this offseason. But Jalen Hurch is right up there. He should be in that elite tier, but he goes like one to two rounds after those guys. And I think the volume's going to come back just from pure regression.

I think he's going to throw 40 to 80 to 100 more times this year to the same wide receiver he's been throwing to in AJ Brown and Devontas Smith, despite some potential trade rumors around the NFL draft. He's still throwing to Dallas Goddert. This is an offensive line that if we scroll to it, yes, they lose pieces past few years but it's still arguably if not the best a top three offensive line in the nfl cam jurgins jordan my udded lannon dickerson lane johnson is still there right this is a great unit in general and just to just so you all know the tush push there was a chance it looked like for a half a day that it was going to be banned probably j weapon, especially when it comes to, you know, he's probably earning four to six more touchdowns over the last couple of years because of this. The tush push, a ban on the push that Philadelphia Eagles popularized did not get enough votes in the league meetings in Minneapolis earlier this year. So what does this mean? It means that Jalen Hertz is still going to have all the upside when it comes to those one-yard carries around the red zone which happened at like a

crazy high rate i don't think it's going to continue, but I think we're still going to see one to two to five maybe on the upside scale, tush push touchdowns for Jalen Hertz. And we should also point out that I think Sequin Barkley is going to have a great year. I think he deserves to be a top three, if not number one overall fantasy pick right around there. But it's not like I can just come out here and say he's going to have another 2,000 rushing yard season. So if Seekwan Barclay's production on the ground just drops a little bit, maybe that leaves some room as well, not only through the air, but on the ground for Jalen Hertz to see some more production. Right now we're getting Jalen Hertz in the betting markets projected his over under's around 3,200 yards, which is more than what we saw, about 250 more yards than we saw last year. It's about 20 passing touchdowns, which is a little bit more than we saw last year as well. So this is a player that I want to invest in where you're getting him right now in drafts. We'll talk about it as a fourth round pick because he's finished as the number one quarterback number two.

And in a quote unquote down year where he threw 100 less times last year, he finished sixth overall. I think that regresses. Like I said, he's currently going in the fourth round in the drafts 39th overall. He goes after Jaden Daniels, after Lamar Jackson, after Josh Allen. I'm fine that he goes after those three names. It's just the gap. Like he's going 15 to 20 picks after Lamar and Josh Allen, and I'll just take that value in Jalen Hertz. Because I believe he can win you your league. And I also believe this next guy up, the tight end David and Joku for the Cleveland Browns, is currently the most underrated tight end in fantasy football because this guy, every single year it's like David and Joku gets slept on. Maybe last year he got steamed up to the eighth or ninth round. Maybe that even happens this year once fantasy drafts in late August and September start to kick off more. What does he do regardless every single year? If it's a bad offense that he's playing with like the past few years, he finishes as a top eight tight end each of the last three seasons, including last year where he did miss time. so it was a smaller sample, but he was actually a top five tight end, top four, if you really want to get into it. And let's talk a little bit more about 2024. We could see it right here. This is a guy who once he started to get a little bit healthier, once it was like week six on, that final parts of the season, the final nine games, he was averaging 15.3 fantasy points per game. He was averaging nearly 10 targets per game, as you can see right here on Rotovis, 50 receiving yards compared to 29 and the other first couple of games of the year where he was getting back from some injuries. So he was a top three tight end during that stretch up there with like the Brock Bowers of the world, the Trey McBride's guys who were going literally eight to nine rounds earlier than him in fantasy drafts. And during that span, he actually led the team, despite being a tight end, ahead of all the wide receivers, including Jerry Judy, with a 23% target chair, and he had at least seven targets in eight of his final nine games. So those were like wide receiver two numbers, and he also was having success in 2323. Despite there still being some bad quarterbacks, this is his splits when Joe Flacco is his quarterback. That's important because Joe Flacco is now back with the Browns, currently

projected to be the starter week one. You can see in the five games with Joe Flacco to end the

2023 season, David and Joku was averaging 8.6 fantasy points per game, nine targets per game, and 78

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