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The Daily

43% vs. 43%: Why Trump and Biden Are Tied in Our New Poll

The Daily

The New York Times

Daily News, News

4.4102.8K Ratings

🗓️ 3 August 2023

⏱️ 31 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

With Donald Trump facing charges in three different criminal cases, the biggest questions in American politics are whether that creates an opening for his Republican rivals in the presidential race — and whether it disqualifies him in the eyes of general election voters. A new set of Times polls has answers to those questions. It shows the president and the former president still tied among registered voters, each at 43 percent. Nate Cohn, The New York Times’s chief political analyst, talks us through the first Times/Siena polling of the 2024 election cycle. Guest: Nate Cohn, chief political analyst for The New York Times.

Transcript

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0:00.0

From New York Times, I'm Michael Barrow, this is The Daily.

0:06.4

Today, now the Donald Trump has been charged in three different criminal cases.

0:19.3

The biggest question in American politics is whether it creates an opening for his Republican

0:25.1

rivals in the presidential race or disqualifies him in the eyes of general election voters.

0:32.3

My colleague, Nate Cohen, analyzes a new set of Times polls that answer those questions.

0:45.2

It's Thursday, August 3rd.

0:55.1

All right, let's go to the world, yeah.

1:00.4

Hello again.

1:01.6

Hi, Nate. Is that what I think it just was?

1:05.0

The sounds I was hearing was that a partner obligingly getting rid of an animal

1:09.7

from your apartment so that you could record with the daily?

1:12.2

That is exactly right.

1:16.0

The things we ask of you all.

1:18.7

Yeah, the dog was chewing on a treat and it occurred to me that there was like a 100% chance

1:24.2

that when you all really got down or listening to my audio, you were going to hear the sound

1:27.9

of the background or whatever.

1:29.1

I appreciate that. Thank you.

1:31.0

So, Nate, we wanted to talk to you because the Times just finished a series of major polls

1:36.0

about the state of the 2024 presidential race at a really important juncture when the Republican

1:42.1

primary field is now fully formed and the frontrunner, Donald Trump, has now been indicted

1:48.5

three different times, most recently for his efforts to overturn the 2020 election.

1:52.9

And of course, we have learned from you to say that polls are not predictive.

...

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