meta_pixel
Tapesearch Logo
Log in
Politics War Room with James Carville & Al Hunt

4: Pollster Ann Selzer on the Pete Buttigieg Surge

Politics War Room with James Carville & Al Hunt

Politicon

News, News Commentary, Politics, National, Government

4.63.8K Ratings

🗓️ 21 November 2019

⏱️ 42 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The foremost respected expert on polling Ann Selzer enters the War Room to discuss the latest Des Moines Register poll in which Pete Buttigieg surged to the top of the Democratic pack. James and Al react to the latest in the impeachment saga. Christy Harvey's 'Got Your Number' segment features the Washington football team before we take a look at the 'Back Page'.

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

James Last Saturday night, most of the political world was awaiting the Iowa poll from Ann

0:11.2

Celser.

0:12.2

Because every time Ann Celser does a poll, people who know something about politics wait

0:16.9

for it because as 538 wrote several years ago, she may be the very best political pollster

0:23.1

in the land.

0:24.2

The poll was a bombshell of sorts.

0:27.6

I'll give you the bottom line numbers.

0:30.4

As we talked to our great guest Ann Celser, Pete Buttigieg, surgeon, the lead at 25, and

0:35.9

then Warren and Biden and Sanders were all bunched at 16-15 and the rest of the pack was in

0:41.7

Nebraska.

0:42.9

Ann Celser, what was your take away from this really, really fascinating poll?

0:48.3

Well, we've been looking at the same four front runners out for most of the polls.

0:54.7

So we expected, you know, if things stayed the same, we'd see the same four.

0:59.5

But really, we have a standalone front runner now in Pete Buttigieg and then a cluster

1:05.9

of the other three.

1:08.2

And those are the only ones in double digits.

1:11.0

The next highest is 6% with Amy Klobuchar.

1:14.4

So you really have this pack of four with one stand out there.

1:20.6

And I'll just add that the Pete Buttigieg surgeon, his percentage picking him is first choice

1:27.4

actually tripled.

1:29.8

So it was a giant leap frog over the rest of the field.

1:34.8

And what does his surge and what does the rest of the data that you have in your poll

...

Please login to see the full transcript.

Disclaimer: The podcast and artwork embedded on this page are from Politicon, and are the property of its owner and not affiliated with or endorsed by Tapesearch.

Generated transcripts are the property of Politicon and are distributed freely under the Fair Use doctrine. Transcripts generated by Tapesearch are not guaranteed to be accurate.

Copyright © Tapesearch 2026.