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All right, first game, Michigan. Number four in the country. Their first road test of the year. They're minus 10 and a half at Iowa where dreams go to die.

Big noon Fox kickoff and people when I tell you Jim put a novel on the show sheet, you can't do the novel, but you can do the novella.

This is the cost of novella about Michigan and Iowa.

Thank you. I wrote Iowa or pass. It just comes down to I have guts or not. And Mike, I'm happy to report.

Guts intact. Let's go. Iowa is the play here. You got a young quarterback in his first road game ever.

Big knock on JJ McCarthy mistake prone last week. He had two fumbles and a near red zone pick. Iowa's defense. It's much chronicled.

They score points. They score 10 points a game on the season. They only give up five points per game. That's the type of of challenge that JJ is going to walk into.

And here's the stat on Iowa. Five and one straight up in their last six home games against AP top five foes. Six and O against the spread. And again, we're betting the spread. We're getting 10 and a half points for Iowa at home.

40% of the bets on Iowa, but 68% of the money. Here's the problem. And again, everything you say is right. I'm not arguing with it. What gives me pause is two things.

Okay, watching Iowa and I've watched two of their games in their entirety. There are offenses and just bad. I don't want to gloss over that for people who haven't watched this.

When I tell you it's the worst offense in America, it's worse offense in America. They need a two defensive touch sounds to be Rutgers.

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