4/11/24: Betting markets suddenly say Biden '24, Trump trial delay rejected again
The David Pakman Show
David Pakman
4.8 • 6.3K Ratings
🗓️ 11 April 2024
⏱️ 62 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | Say what you want about the validity and importance of polls in April of an election year, the tone and the feel and the dynamics of this presidential |
| 0:17.0 | race are changing and we start with new polling in which things are looking pretty |
| 0:22.4 | damn good for President Joe Biden. |
| 0:25.0 | Nothing is a guarantee. More than likely, this is an election that will come down to about half a million votes in five states. |
| 0:31.0 | But if you have an option between it'll be close |
| 0:34.7 | and the polls look bad for Biden or it'll be close and the polls look pretty good |
| 0:39.6 | for Biden if your goal is to prevent the potential downfall of democracy with four years of |
| 0:46.8 | dangerous authoritarianism, you choose if you're a logical person as I try to be, |
| 0:52.3 | you choose the scenario in which the polls look better. |
| 0:55.8 | And indeed, Joe Biden is now beating Donald Trump in a majority of polls. |
| 1:00.8 | I'll be honest, it's a very slim majority right it's like 50% plus one |
| 1:05.8 | polls but also the betting markets have shifted for the first time towards Joe |
| 1:12.0 | Biden in months and individually none of it means anything. |
| 1:17.0 | There are people who will write to me and say David those stupid prediction markets mean nothing. |
| 1:22.0 | It's kids in their mom's basements. prediction markets |
| 1:25.0 | Oh and David the polling also means nothing. |
| 1:29.0 | Oh and David the polling also means nothing. |
| 1:31.0 | Well there is a momentum shift in the polling from a small lead |
| 1:35.2 | by Trump to a small lead by Biden. By itself, maybe it doesn't tell us |
| 1:39.9 | everything we need to know, but it all still together is a picture that rejects the |
| 1:45.6 | notion that Biden can't win that's the important takeaway so many have fallen |
| 1:51.5 | into this doom and gloom. |
... |
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