Your task will not be an easy one.

Your enemy is well trained, well equipped, and battlehardt.

There is not a liberal America and a conservative America.

There is the United States of America.

Good night and good luck.

Hey, folks, and welcome back to the Lincoln Project podcast.

I'm your host, Rick Wilson, and joining me today is Andrew Wilson, who, in addition to having been born my son, is also a brilliant pollster. And today we are going to talk about polling the numbers, the data, the inside story of what's happening in this campaign, especially in the weeks since Joe Biden has left the race and Vice President Harris has become

the Democratic nominee. So Andrew, welcome to the podcast. Thanks for coming on today. I wanted to

start with give me your overview of where the polling has shifted since Vice President

Harris has become the Democratic nominee. So I think two big things have happened.

I would say overall, we've moved to an Aeros Plus One environment.

But to be clear, that still is electorally favorable towards Trump.

It's still going to be a very tight race and a serious fight in the states that we already recognize as battle around states.

Everything that we've seen so far in the public polling is still within the margin of error.

So we are unsure about Harris's lead at this point, but it's looking a lot more promising, especially when you factor in her approval rating, which has been climbing exponentially

since Joe Biden dropped out of the race

and endorsed her. It's pretty much turned on its head from what before when she was,

you know, just running as his vice presidential nominee. So she was in the 30s, basically,

in the mid to high 30s on approvals. And now,

where are we at now is it's up into the 40, mid mid 40s, right?

In 40s, I would say. 40s on average. It's, that's, I'm not true in historical terms what the,

what the change might be, but it's very significant.

...