What's up everyone it's JJ Zacharyson the editor-in-chief at Fandall at numberfire.com

and this episode 382 of the Lightround podcast, and many shows that are part of the Fandall

podcast network.

Thanks for tuning in.

We have NFL news, Adam Schaefter reported earlier this week that Daulvin Cook won't participate

in any team activities until he receives a new contract.

I don't think it's shocking news but it's news, and that's fun.

So fantasy managers are out here wondering what this means, whether they should be buying

or selling Daulvin Cook and where they should draft Alexander Madison.

At fun with pronouns, ask me this week on Twitter, I know you can't predict the future

in each time is unique, but is there a general lean toward expected value in news like this

drops?

I.e. is there better value on Daulvin discount or Madison increase?

Obviously each outcome will be different, but does pure math prefer a side?

And then he continues, or because each story affects ADP differently, maybe the better

question is, how much does a player need to rise or fall across a threshold of value?

Okay, so I'm going to say this.

There absolutely is not going to be a formula for something like a running back holdout.

There are too many factors to make a blanket statement.

What I can tell you is what I've been talking about on this show over the last couple of weeks,

and it's that your opportunity costs significantly decreases when you get into the middle rounds

of your draft.

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