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Tech Policy Podcast

382: AI and Everything

Tech Policy Podcast

TechFreedom

Technology

4.845 Ratings

🗓️ 13 August 2024

⏱️ 52 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Is AI a miracle? A threat? Will it free us? Enslave us? Both? Neither? What’s the future of AI and governance? AI and art? AI and elections? AI and social media? AI and the economy? AI and the world? Welcome to the Tech Policy Podcast: AI and Everything. On this special episode, we present highlights from more than a year of conversations with leading experts on the state of the AI revolution. Featuring Adam Thierer, Samuel Hammond, Liza Lin, Arnold Kling, Brian Frye, Joseph Tainter, James Pethokoukis, Robert Atkinson, Alice Marwick, and Ari Cohn. Links: Tech Policy Podcast 327: The Collapse of Complex Societies (https://tinyurl.com/48v8d6u9) Tech Policy Podcast 337: China and Domestic Surveillance (https://tinyurl.com/33x7syb7) Tech Policy Podcast 346: Who’s Afraid of Artificial Intelligence? (https://tinyurl.com/2s3b6f42) Tech Policy Podcast 355: Conservative Futurism (https://tinyurl.com/2p9mj7kr) Tech Policy Podcast 361: AI, Art, Copyright, and the Life of Brian (https://tinyurl.com/4hvus7kh) Tech Policy Podcast 363: AI and Elections (https://tinyurl.com/ay3cpztr) Tech Policy Podcast 369: AI and State Capacity (https://tinyurl.com/3ubm2ku6) Tech Policy Podcast 375: Tech Facts and Fallacies (https://tinyurl.com/4azkjp25) Tech Policy Podcast 377: AI and Wicked Problems (https://tinyurl.com/mw9b33ws)

Transcript

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0:00.0

The Great The great Herbert Simon predicted that we'd have general artificial intelligence by 1985.

0:32.1

So by one account, we're running at least four decades behind schedule.

0:38.3

But we've made amazing strides.

0:41.6

In the early 2000s, entrance in DARPA's Grand Challenge made massive leaps forward in the

0:48.1

performance of autonomous vehicles.

0:51.7

A few years later, the ImageNet competition jump-started progress in computer vision and

0:58.3

deep neural networks.

1:00.5

Recently, we've witnessed mind-blowing advances in computer image and video generation.

1:07.8

In many fields, AI is now superior to any human.

1:12.9

In 2011, IBM's Watson crushed the best human competitors on Jeopardy.

1:19.4

In 2016, DeepMines AI dominated human grandmasters in the game of Go.

1:27.2

And in 2022, of course,

1:29.7

OpenAI's chat GPT burst on the scene.

1:34.0

Generative AI can now write intelligent pros

1:36.9

across a superhuman range of topics.

1:39.8

It can pass legal and medical licensing exams,

1:47.7

scoring higher than the vast majority of human test takers.

1:50.0

Much more is on the horizon.

1:58.1

AI programs that can engage in human-level reasoning and planning seem to be right around the corner.

2:02.6

Hello, I'm Corbyn Barthold, Internet Policy Council at Tech Freedom.

2:05.6

I've been having a lot of conversations

2:08.6

with a range of experts about what to make

...

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