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ChooseFI | Financial Independence Podcast

376 | Four Percent Rule Alternatives: Retirement Withdrawal Strategies

ChooseFI | Financial Independence Podcast

Jonathan Mendonsa & Brad Barrett | Choose FI Media, Inc

Business, Careers, Investing

4.85.2K Ratings

🗓️ 9 May 2022

⏱️ 51 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Most people accept the 4% rule as gospel—withdraw 4% of your retirement portfolio each year and your money will last. But what happens when markets crash, healthcare costs spike, or you live longer than expected? Sean Mullaney reveals four hidden safety nets that make the 4% rule far more resilient than you think. The 4% rule suggests accumulating 25 times your annual expenses, then withdrawing 4% annually. While this guideline has guided countless early retirees, it assumes uniform spending throughout retirement—an unrealistic expectation that creates unnecessary anxiety about running out of money. Chapters [00:01:40] Understanding the 4% Rule The rule suggests accumulating 25 times annual expenses to sustain retirement through a 4% annual withdrawal rate. [00:04:05] Inflation and the 4% Rule How inflation affects purchasing power and the 4% rule's relevance during inflationary periods. [00:13:05] Flexibility in Spending Adjusting personal expenses enhances financial flexibility and security. Spending may naturally decrease with age. [00:22:14] Social Security as a Backstop Social security provides additional income and support for early retirees. Early retirees may budget zero for social security but benefit from it later. [00:32:56] Real Estate and Reverse Mortgages Your primary residence can be a source of financial security. Downsizing or utilizing home equity can provide necessary funds. Reverse mortgages offer a potential tool for accessing home equity in retirement. [00:43:36] Conclusion on Mortality The importance of considering mortality in financial planning. Failing to plan for extended longevity can lead to unnecessary anxiety about retirement funds. Key Quotes "The 4% rule assumes uniform spending, but life isn't that predictable." [00:13:05] "Medicare provides crucial financial coverage against increasing healthcare costs." [00:17:39] "The focus of the 4% rule isn't just longevity but ensuring funds last a lifetime." [00:44:05] "By default, early retirees often budget zero for social security, making it an unexpected benefit." [00:22:50] Resources FI Tax Guy Blog [00:49:04] ▶ Listen Next: Ep. 377 — Retirement Planning Strategies During Economic Uncertainty | Essential Listening

Transcript

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0:00.0

Hello everyone on today's episode we're bringing back on the show the very popular 5 tax guys Sean Malaney and we're going to be looking at the four back stops to the four percent rule.

0:08.8

Welcome to the ultimate crowdsource personal finance show this is choose a five.

0:13.1

You're listening to choose a five radio.

0:17.9

The blueprint for financial independence lives here.

0:20.9

If you're looking to unlock the secrets to financial independence and early retirement you're in the right place.

0:27.9

Stay tuned and join a community of like my people who are getting off the answer.

0:32.9

And taking control of their lives in the pursuit of financial independence.

0:36.9

Choose a five your home for financial independence on live.

1:00.9

Alright guys very excited to dive into this week's episode and help me do this.

1:03.9

I have my co-host Brad here with me today. How you doing buddy?

1:05.9

Hey Jonathan I am doing quite well. Yeah this is this should be a really good episode.

1:09.9

So Sean wrote this amazing article the four back stops to the four percent rule and it was something we knew we wanted to have him on to talk through because it's really it's something.

1:19.9

Obviously we talk about the four percent rule here fairly often the four percent rule of thumb as we call it but we don't really dive into the nuance.

1:26.9

And I think that's what Sean's article does so so well. So yeah with that Sean welcome back to choose a five.

1:32.9

Jonathan Brad always great to join you look forward to this conversation.

1:36.9

Awesome brother well it's going to be a lot of fun and I think probably to start with let's do a little bit of definition of terms just to make sure we're you know everybody's caught up and understands why we're diving into the nuance the four percent rule.

1:47.9

Why is this term important for people that are you know trying to be strategic with their intermediate financial goals.

1:55.9

So Jonathan all of us at some point need to face the prospect of not working right so there's this debate in the fire community is it five or is it fire right in the retire early well at some point all of us are going to have some desire or some need to not work right and many in the five community would like that to be sooner rather than later.

2:16.9

So you have all sorts of different levels of hey I'm going to need to withdraw financial assets to support me because I'm not going to have a W2 job or self employment or whatever it is right and then you guys have talked about the four percent rule many a time on choose a five podcast and as Brad mentioned it is just a general rule of thumb but it is a powerful one right if we think about accumulating 25 times our annual expenses and financial assets and spending roughly four percent.

2:45.9

A year of those assets in theory that can support a long retire and I think that can happen for several reasons one of them is most investors are aiming for returns that exceed 4% of you right I think that is a fair statement for Americans thinking about their investments whether they're in the workplace now or if they're thinking about being retired or if they are retired right so in theory if you spend 4% of your time.

3:13.9

If you spend 4% a year and your annual returns are in excess of 4% a year perhaps significantly so in theory you have a perpetual money making machine and that 4% rule of thumb works and works really well right you'll never run out of money if you're growing your money and by the way if you run many simulations of 4% rule that actually is a fairly common outcome is that the money grows as opposed to the pleats.

3:39.9

But there are risks involved in that we'll talk about those risks.

...

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