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Battleground

363. Oreshnik Over Lviv: Winter Strikes and the Shadow Fleet

Battleground

Goalhanger

History

4.6703 Ratings

🗓️ 16 January 2026

⏱️ 34 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

As Ukraine slips from the international headlines in favour of turmoil in Venezuela and Iran, Roger Moorhouse and Saul David examine a week of "curious" developments and renewed escalation. With temperatures plunging to -14°C, Russia has intensified its campaign against Ukraine’s energy infrastructure, launching a rare Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missile at Lviv—a strike less than 50 miles from the Polish border that the Kremlin frames as a "false flag" retaliation. The hosts also dive into the escalating maritime war, discussing the capture of the Russian shadow fleet tanker Bella-1 and recent Ukrainian drone strikes on four tankers off Novorossiysk. They explore the shifting policies in the UK regarding special forces interdictions in the Atlantic and the significant €90bn support package announced by the EU, which survived a tense "EU-first" debate between Paris and Berlin. Finally, they look at Estonia’s bold move to ban hundreds of former Russian soldiers, citing the "non-theoretical" threat of combat-hardened veterans with criminal backgrounds. If you have any thoughts or questions, you can send them to - podbattleground@gmail.com Producer: James Hodgson X (Twitter): @PodBattleground Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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1:17.1

Welcome to the Battleground Ukraine podcast with me, Roger Morehouse and Saul David.

1:22.0

It's been a curious week in which Ukraine has rather slipped from the international headlines in favour of the momentous developments in Venezuela and Iran.

1:27.0

Given the interlinked nature of the world,

1:29.0

both of those theatres, of course, may yet prove to be influential, not least as two of Russia's

1:34.2

partner regimes in the bottom day Axis of Neer-du- Wells may yet be consigned to the history

1:39.6

books. But for the moment at least, let's look at events in Ukraine in isolation from those in Caracas and Tehran.

1:46.9

Firstly, two events on the ground in Ukraine, and Russia has continued its efforts this week to render Ukraine's energy sector lame,

1:54.1

and so doom Ukrainians to endure the freezing weather.

1:57.1

In a week when temperatures dropped to minus 14 degrees C, Russia launched one of the most

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