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The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast

342: Mailbag 1/24/20

The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast

iHeartPodcasts

Sports, Fantasy Sports, Football

4.83.2K Ratings

🗓️ 24 January 2020

⏱️ 19 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

On this week's mailbag show, JJ rants about the conversation around football analytics, talks about the late-round quarterback strategy, digs into N'Keal Harry's career potential, and much more.

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

What's up everyone it's JJ Zachary in the editor in chief at fandal and a number

0:15.7

fired dot com and this is episode 342 of the late round podcast when many shows that

0:20.6

are part of the fandal podcast network.

0:23.3

Thanks for tuning in.

0:24.8

I'm tired of the football analytics debates on Twitter they're exhausting.

0:28.4

A few weeks ago I made a threat of tweets after Dave Gettelman said quote people say it's

0:32.5

a passing leak I get that but the top four teams were not in the playoffs the top four

0:37.5

rushing teams were in the playoffs.

0:40.5

The fact that an NFL GM is using this type of logic is ridiculous.

0:44.9

That's why I made the thread.

0:46.3

I wanted to explain to people that it's not about cumulative numbers.

0:50.0

It's about efficiency because as we know game flow will dictate how pass or run heavy

0:54.7

a team actually is.

0:56.5

If a team is leading they tend to run more if they're losing they'll pass.

1:00.5

That's why since 2011 and this is what I talked about in the thread of tweets but since

1:04.0

2011 76% of teams with nine or more wins had a lower overall past rush ratio than they

1:10.8

did in neutral game scripts to put this another way winning teams were more run heavy in

1:15.9

total than they were when games were close and as you increase that wind total the percentage

1:21.0

of teams being more run heavy when not in neutral game scripts increase as well.

1:26.2

At 11 wins 85% of teams were more run heavy in total ratio than in neutral scripts at 12

1:32.4

wins 93%.

1:34.4

At 13 wins every team since 2011 with 13 and more wins had a higher overall past rush

...

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