329 - Will There Be a Fall 2021 Resurgence of COVID-19 in the US?
Public Health On Call
The Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
4.6 • 644 Ratings
🗓️ 4 June 2021
⏱️ 16 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Dr. Justin Lessler, an infectious disease epidemiologist, returns to the podcast to talk to Dr. Josh Sharfstein about the Scenario Modeling Hub's models for the fall of 2021. Researchers projected what could happen under four scenarios of vaccination rates and viral control measures. The upshot? As has been the case since the beginning, what happens next is up to us.
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to Season 4 of Public Health On Call, a podcast from the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health. |
| 0:13.0 | I'm Josh Sharfstein, Vice Dean for Public Health Practice and Community Engagement, and a former Commissioner of Health in Baltimore City. |
| 0:20.0 | Our goal is to bring |
| 0:21.7 | scientific evidence and experience to current topics in public health through engaging interviews |
| 0:27.1 | with scientists, community leaders, policy experts, public health officials, clinicians, and more. |
| 0:32.8 | If you have ideas or questions for us to cover, please email us at public health question at jhhhu.edu. |
| 0:40.4 | That's public health question at jhhu.edu for future podcast episodes. |
| 0:46.4 | Today, I speak with Dr. Justin Lestler, an infectious disease epidemiologist at the Johns Hopkins |
| 0:53.5 | Bloomberg School of Public Health. |
| 0:56.0 | Dr. Lessler recently worked with several teams of modelers to look ahead to the next six months of COVID-19 in the United States. |
| 1:04.0 | He asked, for example, if we have high levels of vaccination and we keep some other protections, what happens? |
| 1:13.2 | He also asked if we have lower levels of vaccination and we largely stop other protections |
| 1:18.8 | like wearing masks, what happens? Really interesting results. Let's listen. Dr. Lessler, |
| 1:26.0 | thank you for joining me again on the podcast. |
| 1:28.7 | I remember way back in March 2020, we spoke. |
| 1:33.2 | You were one of the first infectious disease epidemiologists that we interviewed, |
| 1:38.3 | and you told me that if there is asymptomatic transmission of this new virus, |
| 1:43.0 | it's going to be a big problem for the world. |
| 1:47.1 | Yes, and unfortunately, I think I was right. |
| 1:50.2 | You spent a lot of your time in the last year |
| 1:53.6 | working on different kinds of models |
| 1:57.0 | to understand the spread of the virus. |
... |
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