What's Poppin everybody? Hello and welcome to Popper culture. My name is Ben Carlin, and I am host here with me today's my brother Jay who will be in every episode. Hey, what's up dude? How are you? I'm doing pretty good. I'm doing pretty good. Hey, quick question for you. Yeah. Do you know how unlikely you are? How unlikely I am. Yes, how unlikely you are. I don't think I know how unlikely I am. You never

fathomed it. You never thought to myself like, what are the odds of me? What are the odds of me? What are they? Is this what you're thinking about? What are the odds of you? No, no, not me. You in particular. Okay. Okay. Yeah. So there is. When you, you're not talking about, Do not like to the viewers, not to the listeners.

No.

Do you know how unlikely you are?

Stop trying to relate to the words coming at.

No, I to the listeners. No. Do you know how unlikely you are?

Stop trying to relate to the words coming at. No, I'm just kidding. I always want you to relate to the words going on in my mouth. But, no, this is actually more of a specific you question. Specific to me. Okay. Pacific Ocean to you. Okay. So, okay. So there is back in college when I was in my operations management class.

It was one of my favorite courses with my professor. So, okay, so, um, there is, back in college when I was in my operations management class,

it was one of my, one of my favorite courses with my professor, Ted Shockley, Ted Shockley.

Ted Shockley. That was his name. Yeah, are you saying shock like zap or chocolate, chocolate?

It's just shock like. Okay, yeah, okay, Ted Shockley. Yeah, that's one. Got it. Yeah, he was great. Um, and I remember we were going through the course and I think, I think we made like a year one supercarlin mother's video about this, but it was talking about, and I'm sure I talked about on the pop. The Ford Taurus in the way that they made it better in the 80s by making it with like fewer fewer parts. Yeah. Yeah. And the whole idea was that like you take any number of parts that are involved in a specific vehicle. And it's sort of like, let's say you've got like five parts and they all have a 99% success rate. The very simple calculation you can use to determine the likelihood of success for that object is to multiply 99 times 99 times 99 times 99, which ultimately

will give you a number close to like 96.2 or something. Right. It's, it's smaller than 99 because

you would think like, you know, oh, if it's all 99% then it has a 99% success rate. Right. That's not how

it works. Not how it works. Because you start to have like compounding interest, if you will, on the

chance of failure. Right. Um, so then overing interest, if you will, on the chance of failure.

Right.

So then over the weekend, I was thinking about, for whatever reason, high school sweethearts and sort of this idea that you could meet your partner in high school and how like novel it almost is for that relationship to make it to,

like, fruition.

Like, right.

You know, and it's, and the reason why I think it's so interesting is because, and I actually

looked up the statistics on this, um, is because right after high school for many people is four years of college right and college

is prime time for people to meet their lifelong partners i mean it makes sense you're suddenly like

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