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TED Talks Daily

3 myths about the future of work (and why they're not true) | Daniel Susskind

TED Talks Daily

TED

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4.111.9K Ratings

🗓️ 14 March 2018

⏱️ 16 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

"Will machines replace humans?" This question is on the mind of anyone with a job to lose. Daniel Susskind confronts this question and three misconceptions we have about our automated future, suggesting we ask something else: How will we distribute wealth in a world when there will be less -- or even no -- work?

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Transcript

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0:00.0

This TED Talk features economist and author Daniel Susskind, recorded live at TED at Merck, KGAA, Darmstadt, Germany, 2017.

0:12.1

Automation anxiety has been spreading lately, fear that in the future, many jobs will be performed by machines rather than human beings,

0:22.3

given the remarkable advances that are unfolding in artificial intelligence and robotics.

0:28.0

What's clear is that there will be significant change.

0:30.9

What's less clear is what that change will look like.

0:34.6

My research suggests that the future is both troubling and exciting. The threat of

0:40.6

technological unemployment is real, and yet it's a good problem to have. And to explain how I came

0:47.2

to that conclusion, I want to confront three myths that I think are currently obscuring our vision

0:53.7

of this automated future.

0:56.4

A picture that we see on our television screens and books and films and everyday commentary

1:00.6

is one where an army of robots descends on the workplace with one goal in mind

1:06.2

to displace human beings from their work.

1:08.7

And I call this the Terminator myth. Yes, machines displace human beings from their work. And I call this the Terminator myth. Yes, machines

1:12.6

displace human beings from particular tasks, but they don't just substitute for human beings.

1:17.5

They also complement them in other tasks, making that work more valuable and more important.

1:23.3

Sometimes they complement human beings directly, making them more productive or more efficient at a particular task.

1:30.8

So a taxi driver can use a sat-nav system to navigate on unfamiliar roads.

1:35.5

An architect can use computer-assisted design software to design bigger, more complicated buildings.

1:41.9

But technological progress doesn't just complement human beings directly.

1:45.6

It also complements them indirectly, and it does this in two ways. The first is, if we think of

1:50.6

the economy as a pie, technological progress makes the pie bigger, as productivity increases,

1:56.8

incomes rise, and demand grows. The British pie, for instance, is more than 100 times the size it was

...

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