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Real Talk with Zuby

#291 Stephen J Shaw - The Birth Rate Crisis

Real Talk with Zuby

Zuby

Music, Health & Fitness, Entrepreneurship, Business, News, Politics, Society & Culture

4.81.2K Ratings

🗓️ 5 January 2024

⏱️ 87 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Stephen J. Shaw is a renowned data scientist and demographer. He is the writer and director of ‘Birthgap - Childless World’, a documentary exploring the global decline in birth rates. You can check out part one of the documentary here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A6s8QlIGanA


In this episode we discuss the genesis of birth rate declines globally, overpopulation misconceptions in the West, as well as the ramifications of underpopulations. Our discussion touches on the challenges of public discourse around population growth, how the family nucleus has developed throughout history and the resulting impacts of religiosity on family formation.


 Topics discussed: 

 (00:00) Introduction 

 (01:15) Initial birthrate concerns 

 (03:30) Overpopulation misconceptions 

 (20:27) Underpopulation ramifications 

 (37:10) Historical population recovery examples 

 (39:14) Population public discourse 

 (52:13) Family formations 

 (57:34) Family and religion 

 (1:04:43) Motivating factors 

 (1:17:29) Fatherhood 

 (1:21:59) Closing comments


 Follow Zuby:

 https://twitter.com/ZubyMusic


 Follow Stephen J Shaw:

 https://twitter.com/stephenjshaw


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Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

What's up, ladies and gentlemen, boys and girls around the world?

0:02.7

I would like to welcome you back to the Real Talk with Zubi podcast.

0:06.4

Today's episode, we have got on a fantastic guest.

0:09.4

He's got a lot of insight, and this is going to be a mind-blowing conversation.

0:13.6

He is a data scientist.

0:15.1

He is a demographer, and he also made a very interesting but scary documentary called Birth Gap. And this is

0:22.6

Stephen Jay Shaw. Welcome to the show. Thank you, Zubi. It's a real pleasure to be here.

0:26.8

No doubt. So, Stephen, I've done a very brief intro there, but please tell people a little bit

0:31.5

more about yourself. Yeah, I'm originally from the UK. I've lived in the U.S. for the best

0:36.9

part of 15 years before moving to Japan, Tokyo, six years ago. I moved to Japan to research birth rate decline. It seemed to be the right place to be, given Japan's long-term low birth rate. I run a company doing data analytics. That's my profession. And years ago, I saw really scary data about birth rates across Europe, which I didn't know about and knew a little bit about.

1:00.0

But when I saw how precipitous this is, I decided someone's got to research this and write a book.

1:06.0

My son told me, Dad, no one reads books these days. You've got to make a documentary.

1:10.0

And somehow, magically, I met the right people at the right time and it happened awesome man what was it that

1:16.6

you saw that set off the alarm bell that made you want to pursue this issue to the extent that

1:22.6

you have over the years uh did in germany very specifically I knew a little bit about low birth rates, of course, in Japan.

1:29.6

Most people are aware of that, I would say.

1:32.2

I knew about Italy and Spain to a point.

1:35.4

The birth rate problem there long term had been blamed on youth unemployment,

1:39.6

high levels of youth unemployment, and that seemed reasonable.

1:42.9

But no one was talking about low birth

1:44.6

rates in Germany ever. And I get to work with some industry leaders, often in the automotive

1:53.1

industry, often a very German-focused industry, of course. And I knew that those executives

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