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Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas

270 | Solo: The Coming Transition in How Humanity Lives

Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas

Sean Carroll | Wondery

Society & Culture, Physics, Philosophy, Science, Ideas, Society

4.84.4K Ratings

🗓️ 25 March 2024

⏱️ 129 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Technology is changing the world, in good and bad ways. Artificial intelligence, internet connectivity, biological engineering, and climate change are dramatically altering the parameters of human life. What can we say about how this will extend into the future? Will the pace of change level off, or smoothly continue, or hit a singularity in a finite time? In this informal solo episode, I think through what I believe will be some of the major forces shaping how human life will change over the decades to come, exploring the very real possibility that we will experience a dramatic phase transition into a new kind of equilibrium.

Blog post with transcript and links to additional resources: https://www.preposterousuniverse.com/podcast/2024/03/25/270-solo-the-coming-transition-in-how-humanity-lives/

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Transcript

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0:00.0

Hello everyone welcome to the Mindscape Podcast. I'm your host Sean Carroll and as I'm recording this in March of 2024 a few days ago

0:07.7

Werner Vinge passed away. You might know Werner Vinge was a quite well-known science fiction author, the author of A Fire

0:15.2

Upon the Deep, and other novels. Basically, his favorite thing to do was to take technology and to extrapolate it, to imagine technological innovations

0:25.8

far beyond what we have in the present day and then to think about the implications

0:30.0

of those technological innovations for humanity, human behavior, and society and life and so forth.

0:35.2

Yes, something that science fiction has always been very good at.

0:38.5

In fact, even if you've never read any of his books, you might be aware of the impact of Werner Venge because he was the one who popularized the idea of the technological singularity, a moment when advances in technology would become so big that a fundamental change would happen

0:56.7

in the nature of human existence.

0:59.4

He did not coin the term, singularity, not quite, not in this sense. It goes back to John Von Neumann of all people,

1:05.8

maybe not surprising actually in retrospect. Von Neumann was one of the leading mathematicians

1:10.4

and physicists and thinkers of the 20th century,

1:14.0

and if you look up the Wikipedia page

1:16.0

for the technological singularity,

1:19.0

you will find something I did know

1:21.0

that it was first mentioned in a kind of offhand remark by John

1:26.3

von Neumann talking to Ullum and mentioning that with the humanity was

1:30.8

approaching an essential singularity and technological progress.

1:35.2

Now since then this idea has been borrowed by others most famously by Ray Kortsvile and it has gained a little bit of, well there's enthusiasm for it in some quarters,

1:46.0

there's skepticism about it in other quarters.

1:49.0

The specific version of the technological singularity that Vinge and Kurtzweil were talking about.

1:55.1

We don't know exactly what Von Neumann was talking about, but Vinge and then Kurtzweil were talking

1:59.8

about a technological singularity driven by AI superintelligence.

...

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