4.6 • 228.6K Ratings
🗓️ 25 April 2025
⏱️ 169 minutes
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0:00.0 | Joe Rogan podcast checking out. |
0:04.0 | The Joe Rogan Experience. |
0:06.1 | Train by day, Joe Rogan podcast by night, all day. |
0:12.2 | All right. |
0:12.9 | So if there's a doomsday clock for AI and where we're fucked, what time is it? |
0:19.6 | If midnight is, we're fucked. We're getting |
0:21.5 | right into it. You're not even going to ask us what we had for breakfast. |
0:24.6 | No, no, no, no, no, no. |
0:26.6 | Jesus. Okay. Let's get freaked out. Well, okay, so there's one, um, without speaking to, like, |
0:32.6 | the fucking tombstay dimension right up the gate, There's a question about like where are we at in terms of AI capabilities right now |
0:39.1 | and what do those timelines look like? |
0:40.7 | Right. |
0:41.1 | There's a bunch of disagreement. |
0:42.6 | One of the most concrete pieces of evidence that we have recently came out of a lab, |
0:47.7 | an AI kind of evaluation lab called meter. |
0:50.7 | And they put together this test. |
0:52.6 | Basically, it's like you ask the question, pick a task |
0:56.6 | that takes a certain amount of time, like an hour, it takes like a human a certain amount of time, |
1:02.0 | and then see like how likely the best AI system is to solve for that task. Then try a longer |
1:08.4 | task. See like a 10-hour task. can it do that one? And so right now, |
1:11.7 | what they're finding is when it comes to AI research itself, so basically, like, automate the |
1:17.2 | work of an AI researcher, you're hitting 50% success rates for these AI systems for tasks that take |
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