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The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch

20VC: AI's Biggest Questions: The Commoditisation of LLMs, Open vs Closed: Who Wins, Model Size vs Data Quality, Why Google are Vulnerable and Apple are the Dark Horse

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch

The Twenty Minute VC

Finance, Venturecapital, Tech News, News, Siliconvalley, Technology, Investing, Startups, Business

4.4637 Ratings

🗓️ 24 November 2023

⏱️ 33 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Des Traynor is a Co-Founder of Intercom, and has built and led many teams within the company, including Product, Marketing, and Customer Support.

Yann LeCun is VP & Chief AI Scientist at Meta and Silver Professor at NYU affiliated with the Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences & the Center for Data Science. He was the founding Director of FAIR and of the NYU Center for Data Science. 

Emad Mostaque is the Co-Founder and CEO @ StabilityAI, the parent company of Stable Diffusion. Stability are building the foundation to activate humanity’s potential.

Jeff Seibert is the Founder & CEO @ Digits, building the future of AI-powered accounting. Digits have raised funding from the likes of Peter Fenton @ Benchmark and 20VC.

Tomasz Tunguz is the Founder and General Partner @ Theory Ventures, just announced last week, Theory is a $230M fund that invests $1-25m in early-stage companies that leverage technology discontinuities into go-to-market advantages.

Douwe Kiela is the CEO of Contextual AI, building the contextual language model to power the future of businesses.

Cris Valenzuela is the CEO and co-founder of Runway, the company that trains and builds generative AI models for content creation. 

Richard Socher is the founder and CEO of You.com. Richard previously served as the Chief Scientist and EVP at Salesforce. Before that, Richard was the CEO/CTO of AI startup MetaMind, acquired by Salesforce in 2016.

In Today's Episode We Discuss:

  1. Foundational Models: Analysis

  • Will foundational models become commoditized?
  • Who are the major players? What are their different strengths?
  • Who will win? Who will lose?
  • How important is the size of the model vs the quality of the data?

2. Open vs Closed:

  • What are the biggest pros and cons of an open ecosystem for LLMs?
  • Why is it naive to think that open-source LLMs will prevail?
  • What will determine which method wins?

3. An Analysis of the Incumbents:

  • Why is Google the most vulnerable? What can they do to regain ground?
  • Why is Apple the sleeping giant? How could they win the next wave of AI?
  • What should Amazon do today to compete with Microsoft?

4. The Future: Doom and Gloom?

  • Why is it ridiculous to assume AI systems want to dominate?
  • Why will AI create a renaissance of creativity and human freedom?
  • What role should regulation play in the advancement and progression of AI?

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Welcome to 20 VC with me, Harry Stebbings, and for this Thanksgiving special, I wanted to

0:04.3

bring some of the best minds in AI together for an amazing panel. The only thing is, this panel

0:09.6

never really happened. What you're about to hear is the leading minds in AI from the head of

0:15.2

AI at Meta, the founder of Intercom, stability, runway, leading AI investor Tom Tungas, all debate some of the core questions

0:23.0

in AI. I pulled together some of those best moments and the most contrarian elements from their

0:28.2

different episodes. Let me know what you think of this different style and format. I think it's

0:32.3

really special and cool. You can do that on Twitter at Harry Stebbings. You have now arrived at

0:37.4

your destination.

0:38.7

So I want to start at the very core, the foundational model layer.

0:41.9

And I want to ask, how do we see this layer in terms of the foundational model providers playing out?

0:47.2

And when we see the commoditization of LLMs, EMAD, I know that you have some strong opinions here.

0:52.5

So EMAD at stability handing the mic over to you. I think that there's only going to be five or six foundation model companies in the world in three years, five years. I think it's going to be us, NVIDIA, Google, Microsoft OpenAI, and Demeter and Apple probably are the ones that train these models. What about you, Des? You're the founder of Intercom. Do you think we'll see the commoditization of LLMs?

1:12.9

I don't know if it's actually happened yet, if I'm clear, right? Like, we actually torture test all of the LLMs. It's not yet the case that they're all equal. And when you compare Open AI to the alternative providers, what did the test show you? It's basically a quality of conversation and, like, does it fail any of our, like, hallucination tests?

1:29.0

Does it fail any of our like hallucination tests

1:28.9

does it fail any of our trustworthiness tests can it infer its own confidence was it closer

1:33.7

was there a yeah it close and narrowing and and like it's also a work in progress all of these things

1:39.3

are moving targets right so like we haven't even gotten around maybe testing the latest and greatest

1:43.8

of all the providers which are increasing a number you mentioned mistrial there's also glamour there's anthropic there's like cohere like there's like a whole chunk of them and it's a bit of work to go around and constantly be trying to find out has anyone gotten we only really care about better right right now we're not in cost optimization mode we're just like who's got the Jeff Seibut, you're the founder of Digits. So you sit on top of these foundational

2:04.0

LLMs and then fine tune them with your own data. What do you think in terms of this

2:08.9

commoditization of the foundational model layer? I certainly think we will. And this may not be a

2:14.1

popular position. Obviously, opening eyes charging ahead, sort of leading

2:17.7

the way right now. I think the market forces at work mean there's just immense energy to have

...

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