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Battleground

205. How important is the fall of Vuhledar?

Battleground

Goalhanger Podcasts

History

4.6703 Ratings

🗓️ 11 October 2024

⏱️ 47 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

In this week's Battleground Ukraine Saul and Patrick discuss whether the outlook for Ukraine is a gloomy as it looks on the surface? The fall of Vuhledar some have said might lead to a significant Russian breakthrough but is that actually the case? They also speak to Charlotte Leslie from the Grain from Ukraine initiative, which seeks to highlight and maintain the importance of Ukrainian grain shipments throughout the globe. If you have any thoughts or questions, you can send them to - [email protected] Producer: James Hodgson X (Twitter): @PodBattleground Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

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entrepreneurs like you. Sign up for your $1 a month trial at Shopify.com slash setup. Hello and welcome to the Battleground podcast with me Saul David and Patrick Bishop.

0:47.6

It's good to be back after a short break and I'm extremely grateful to Julius Strauss for standing in for me so ably last week.

0:55.4

The outlook then was notably gloomy for Ukraine and it hasn't improved much since, I'm sad to say. But appearances can be

1:01.3

deceptive. Both the respected Washington think tank, the ISW and British intelligence, have noted

1:06.9

that Russian forces are continuing to make tactical gains in Donetsk, following the capture

1:12.0

of Voolodar, but at what cost and for what purpose? The cost is clear, more than 1,250

1:18.1

casualties killed and wounded a day during the month of September, according to a briefing by

1:22.8

British intelligence, which equates to a whopping 37,500 for the whole month. Since last October,

1:30.2

Russian forces have reportedly lost at least five divisions worth of armoured vehicles and tanks

1:35.2

in Donetsk alone. And yet, despite the recent gains, say the ISW, Russian forces have not demonstrated

1:41.7

a capacity to seize operationally significant objects.

1:45.6

This assessment is important because many Western commentators, in typically doomsday fashion,

1:50.5

are suggesting that the fall of Voolodar might presage a more significant breakthrough.

1:55.3

Not, according to the ISW, which writes,

1:57.8

The Russian seizure of Vuladar will not on its own radically change the operational

2:02.0

situation in Western Donets-Oblast, and Russian forces will likely struggle to achieve their

2:07.4

operational objectives in the area during the ongoing offensive operation in Western Donets

...

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