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Pat Mayo Experience

2026 Fantasy Football Running Back Rankings | Biggest Draft Values & Busts

Pat Mayo Experience

Mayo Media Network

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4.95.4K Ratings

🗓️ 9 July 2026

⏱️ 91 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

⁠Pat Mayo⁠ returns with Jake Ciely and Ian Hartitz to settle the biggest debates in the 2026 Fantasy Football running back rankings. The crew goes head-to-head on the ultimate question: Who deserves to be drafted as the RB1 between Jahmyr Gibbs and Bijan Robinson? They break down Christian McCaffrey's current first-round value, analyze whether fantasy managers are drafting rookie Ashton Jeanty too early, and debate the true ceilings of Jonathan Taylor, James Cook, Saquon Barkley, Chase Brown, and De'Von Achane. Whether you are playing in Half-PPR leagues, targeting high-upside breakouts, or executing a Zero RB strategy, this episode provides the concrete draft advice you need to dominate your drafts. Key Topics Covered: The RB1 Crown: Jahmyr Gibbs vs. Bijan Robinson First-Round Strategy: Is Christian McCaffrey still worth the premium cost? Rookie Hype: Ashton Jeanty's 2026 fantasy expectations Mid-Round Targets: James Cook's value and Chase Brown's breakout potential Draft Philosophy: How to approach RBs in 2026 Half-PPR rankings

Transcript

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0:00.0

The only argument against Derek Henry is if he gets hurt.

0:03.5

That's the only argument.

0:05.4

And yet we sat here at the beginning of the show and said the only argument against

0:08.7

Christian McCaffrey is if he gets hurt.

0:10.6

So why are we killing Derek Henry for the same exact reason that we just argued

0:14.6

that Christian McCaffrey could be the number three running back?

0:16.5

I disagree with that because I think that his overall upside,

0:20.5

especially at this point of his career,

0:21.9

is at a different point than it was six years ago when he was just playing 98% of the snaps for

0:27.3

the Titans because he doesn't quite have the same four touchdown a game in December upside

0:32.3

that he did in some of those outlier years.

0:34.5

Like looking at his expected points, he overachieved last year, but he scored almost 17

0:39.5

fantasy points per game.

0:40.7

And that was on 1.2 targets per game.

0:43.3

Like that is always going to be the drawback that, yeah, he averages the most touches

0:47.9

inside the five yard line per game of any player, most inside the 10.

0:52.0

That needs to keep up just to keep him at where he's at right now.

0:55.0

Because he still, Ian, went over his baseline of expected points. In terms of expected points

0:59.8

versus what he did in reality, he was 2.9 points better than his expected points would suggest.

1:06.0

And expected points, he was behind Josh Jacobs, Cam Scadaboo, Travis E.T.N. Kiron Williams, that that feels like

1:13.2

more of his. Now, obviously, we have to add context to why he scored more points than those guys.

1:18.7

And I will have him over those guys. But it feels like his baseline tier is more around those guys

...

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