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On The Market

2025 Housing Market Predictions (+ How’d We Do Last Time?)

On The Market

BiggerPockets

News, Investing, Business, Education

4.8820 Ratings

🗓️ 14 November 2024

⏱️ 39 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

It’s what you’ve all been waiting for—our 2025 housing market predictions! We’re sharing where we think home prices, interest rates, and real estate will be over the next year. But we’re not just talking about 2025. We’re also going BACK and reviewing our 2024 housing market forecast, painfully detailing each part we got wrong and congratulating whoever got their predictions right. But how did top real estate companies like Zillow perform on their forecasts? Don’t worry; we’re rating their predictions as well! Last year, some of us thought home prices would decline year-over-year, while others were confident we’d still see rising prices. We also had surprisingly accurate mortgage rate predictions, so does that mean we could be right for 2025, too? Stick around to find out! Plus, we’re sharing where we think will become the country's best real estate investing markets and naming the cities we believe have the best potential for building wealth! In This Episode We Cover Updated 2025 housing market predictions and where home prices and mortgage rates could go How we (and Zillow!) did on our 2024 housing market forecast (plus what we got WRONG!) Real estate markets that have the most investment potential in 2025 Why we’re all becoming bullish on lower mortgage rates, EVEN with persistent inflation Did we ever actually make it into recession territory in 2024? And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE  Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile On The Market Podcast 163 - 2024 Housing Market Predictions: Home Prices, Interest Rates, & Opportunities Grab James’ New Book “The House Flipping Framework” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (02:38) Zillow's 2024 Predictions (11:32) Home Prices  (14:33) Recession Risk (16:23) Mortgage Rates (17:23) Best Markets to Invest (20:03) 2025 Home Price Predictions  (23:48) 2025 Mortgage Rate Predictions Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and  https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-269 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

A year ago, we made some bold declarations about what would happen in the housing market in

0:05.1

2024. And today, we're going to talk about what we were wrong about, what we were right

0:09.6

about, what Zillow was wrong about and right about, and we'll talk about what we think we

0:14.1

have in store for 2025.

0:40.7

Hey, everyone, it's Dave. Welcome to On the Market for our annual predictions show. If you are new to listening to On the Market, this is a fun one for you to join. I am joined here today by my three favorite panelists, Kathy Fecki, James Dainard, and Henry Washington.

0:42.4

Thank you three for joining us today.

0:44.3

I bet you say that to all your panelists.

0:49.6

Well, it's fair to say that you're my favorite because you're the only three panelists,

0:51.5

so you are all my favorite.

0:54.1

How are you guys feeling?

0:56.6

Kathy, do you even remember what you predicted last year?

0:58.1

Sure.

0:59.4

No, I really don't.

1:05.5

Well, lucky for you, we have a producer who went back and dug up everything we predicted so we compare it.

1:08.2

And spoiler, James was wrong about everything.

1:10.5

But the rest of us did pretty well.

1:11.3

Or was I? Or was I? You know what he's good at, though the rest of us did pretty well. Or was I?

1:17.7

You know what he's good at, though. He's good at predicting expenses and sales prices.

1:19.5

Very good at all that. And he nails it all that.

1:21.3

And return on investment. Yeah.

1:25.2

Yeah. When you think the market's going down, your underwriting looks a lot better. Well, I think something I didn't predict.

1:28.6

I don't know about all of you didn't predict, but I just realized that as of today, all four

...

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